Paragon Technologies Pink Sheet Forward View

Paragon Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Paragon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Paragon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Paragon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Paragon Technologies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Paragon Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Paragon Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Paragon Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 4.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.62.

Paragon Technologies Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Paragon Technologies

Paragon Technologies Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Paragon Technologies Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Paragon Technologies pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Paragon Technologies pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Paragon Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Paragon Technologies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Paragon Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paragon Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 2.84 4.90 6.96 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 2.13 4.19 6.25 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 4.91 4.97 5.03 Details

Paragon Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Paragon Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Paragon Technologies Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Paragon Technologies Hype Timeline

Paragon Technologies is at this time traded for 4.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Paragon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Paragon Technologies is about 208000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.90. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Paragon Technologies last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 1999. The entity had 3:2 split on the 12th of November 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Paragon Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

Paragon Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Paragon Technologies

For every potential investor in Paragon, whether a beginner or expert, Paragon Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Paragon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Paragon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Paragon Technologies' price trends.

Paragon Technologies Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Paragon Technologies Market Strength Events

Paragon Technologies Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Paragon Technologies

Other Macroaxis Stories

Additional Tools for Paragon Pink Sheet Analysis