PLDT Stock Forward View
| PHI Stock | USD 23.95 0.25 1.03% |
PLDT Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of PLDT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 14th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of PLDT's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7204 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8789 | Wall Street Target Price 31.1 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.007 |
Using PLDT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PLDT Inc ADR from the perspective of PLDT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
PLDT Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PLDT Inc ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 24.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.71.PLDT Inc ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PLDT's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PLDT. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PLDT can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PLDT Inc ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PLDT's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PLDT.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PLDT Inc ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 24.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.71. PLDT after-hype prediction price | USD 23.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PLDT to cross-verify your projections. PLDT Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PLDT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PLDT using various technical indicators. When you analyze PLDT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PLDT Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the PLDT's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1994-12-31 | Previous Quarter 10.8 B | Current Value 10.1 B | Quarterly Volatility 14 B |
PLDT Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PLDT Inc ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 24.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PLDT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PLDT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PLDT Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PLDT | PLDT Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
PLDT Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PLDT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PLDT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.21 and 25.77, respectively. We have considered PLDT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PLDT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PLDT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.3066 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2211 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0098 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.7064 |
Predictive Modules for PLDT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PLDT Inc ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PLDT After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PLDT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PLDT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PLDT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PLDT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PLDT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PLDT's historical news coverage. PLDT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.65 and 25.21, respectively. We have considered PLDT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PLDT is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PLDT Inc ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
PLDT Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PLDT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PLDT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PLDT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.28 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 3 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.95 | 23.93 | 0.08 |
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PLDT Hype Timeline
On the 14th of February 2026 PLDT Inc ADR is traded for 23.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. PLDT is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 23.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on PLDT is about 791.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.92. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 9.51. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of August 2025. PLDT Inc ADR had 2:1 split on the 14th of July 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PLDT to cross-verify your projections.PLDT Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PLDT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PLDT's future price movements. Getting to know how PLDT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PLDT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TDS | Telephone and Data | 0.21 | 8 per month | 1.17 | 0.16 | 2.81 | (2.35) | 8.49 | |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global PLC | 0.01 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.17 | (2.24) | 6.17 | |
| AD | Array Digital Infrastructure | 0.31 | 11 per month | 1.67 | 0.21 | 3.45 | (3.12) | 10.82 | |
| LUMN | Lumen Technologies | (0.62) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.65 | (7.57) | 32.97 | |
| VEON | VEON | (1.24) | 10 per month | 1.66 | 0.01 | 2.67 | (2.62) | 10.13 | |
| KYIV | Kyivstar Group Ltd | 0.36 | 7 per month | 3.46 | (0.01) | 6.46 | (5.61) | 20.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for PLDT
For every potential investor in PLDT, whether a beginner or expert, PLDT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PLDT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PLDT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PLDT's price trends.PLDT Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PLDT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PLDT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PLDT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PLDT Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PLDT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PLDT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PLDT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PLDT Inc ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1624.41 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.47) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.06 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.02 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.25) |
PLDT Risk Indicators
The analysis of PLDT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PLDT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pldt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6386 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Variance | 2.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4078 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PLDT
The number of cover stories for PLDT depends on current market conditions and PLDT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PLDT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PLDT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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PLDT Short Properties
PLDT's future price predictability will typically decrease when PLDT's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PLDT Inc ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PLDT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PLDT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 216.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PLDT to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is there potential for Wireless Telecommunication Services market expansion? Will PLDT introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PLDT. Anticipated expansion of PLDT directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about PLDT listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | Dividend Share 95 | Earnings Share 2.31 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.007 |
The market value of PLDT Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PLDT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PLDT's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PLDT's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because PLDT's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PLDT's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between PLDT's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding PLDT should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, PLDT's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.