PLDT Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| PHI Stock | USD 22.93 0.06 0.26% |
PLDT Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PLDT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of PLDT's stock price is under 65 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 27th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling PLDT, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7204 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8789 | Wall Street Target Price 31.1 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.007 |
Using PLDT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PLDT Inc ADR from the perspective of PLDT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
PLDT Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PLDT Inc ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 22.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.15.PLDT Inc ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PLDT's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PLDT. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PLDT can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PLDT Inc ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PLDT's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PLDT.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PLDT Inc ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 22.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.15. PLDT after-hype prediction price | USD 22.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PLDT to cross-verify your projections. PLDT Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PLDT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PLDT using various technical indicators. When you analyze PLDT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PLDT Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PLDT Inc ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 22.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PLDT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PLDT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PLDT Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PLDT | PLDT Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PLDT Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PLDT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PLDT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.56 and 24.30, respectively. We have considered PLDT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PLDT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PLDT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0807 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0989 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2359 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.155 |
Predictive Modules for PLDT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PLDT Inc ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PLDT After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PLDT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PLDT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PLDT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PLDT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PLDT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PLDT's historical news coverage. PLDT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.51 and 24.35, respectively. We have considered PLDT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PLDT is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PLDT Inc ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
PLDT Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PLDT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PLDT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PLDT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 1.37 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.93 | 22.93 | 0.00 |
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PLDT Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January PLDT Inc ADR is traded for 22.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. PLDT is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on PLDT is about 331.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.79. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 9.39. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of August 2025. PLDT Inc ADR had 2:1 split on the 14th of July 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PLDT to cross-verify your projections.PLDT Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PLDT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PLDT's future price movements. Getting to know how PLDT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PLDT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TDS | Telephone and Data | (2.03) | 22 per month | 1.33 | 0.09 | 2.81 | (2.35) | 8.49 | |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global PLC | (0.19) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.01 | (1.99) | 7.30 | |
| AD | Array Digital Infrastructure | (0.20) | 12 per month | 1.94 | 0.08 | 3.45 | (3.12) | 10.82 | |
| LUMN | Lumen Technologies | (0.12) | 7 per month | 4.68 | 0.06 | 10.25 | (7.57) | 27.52 | |
| VEON | VEON | (0.11) | 9 per month | 1.83 | 0.01 | 2.67 | (3.22) | 20.18 | |
| KYIV | Kyivstar Group Ltd | 0.17 | 9 per month | 3.38 | (0.01) | 7.07 | (5.61) | 20.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for PLDT
For every potential investor in PLDT, whether a beginner or expert, PLDT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PLDT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PLDT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PLDT's price trends.PLDT Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PLDT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PLDT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PLDT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PLDT Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PLDT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PLDT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PLDT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PLDT Inc ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PLDT Risk Indicators
The analysis of PLDT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PLDT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pldt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9725 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7435 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Variance | 1.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5528 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PLDT
The number of cover stories for PLDT depends on current market conditions and PLDT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PLDT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PLDT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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PLDT Short Properties
PLDT's future price predictability will typically decrease when PLDT's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PLDT Inc ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PLDT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PLDT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 216.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PLDT to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Wireless Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PLDT. If investors know PLDT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PLDT listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | Dividend Share 95 | Earnings Share 2.29 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.007 |
The market value of PLDT Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PLDT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PLDT's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PLDT's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PLDT's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PLDT's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PLDT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PLDT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PLDT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.