Pilbara Minerals Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

PILBF Stock  USD 1.68  0.04  2.33%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pilbara Minerals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.84. Pilbara Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pilbara Minerals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Pilbara Minerals is based on an artificially constructed time series of Pilbara Minerals daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Pilbara Minerals 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pilbara Minerals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pilbara Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pilbara Minerals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pilbara Minerals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pilbara MineralsPilbara Minerals Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pilbara Minerals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pilbara Minerals' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pilbara Minerals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.51, respectively. We have considered Pilbara Minerals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.68
1.84
Expected Value
6.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pilbara Minerals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pilbara Minerals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.3443
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0029
MADMean absolute deviation0.1102
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.057
SAESum of the absolute errors5.8425
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Pilbara Minerals Limited 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Pilbara Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pilbara Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.686.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.456.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pilbara Minerals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pilbara Minerals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pilbara Minerals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pilbara Minerals.

Other Forecasting Options for Pilbara Minerals

For every potential investor in Pilbara, whether a beginner or expert, Pilbara Minerals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pilbara Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pilbara. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pilbara Minerals' price trends.

View Pilbara Minerals Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pilbara Minerals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pilbara Minerals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pilbara Minerals' current price.

Pilbara Minerals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pilbara Minerals pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pilbara Minerals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pilbara Minerals pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Pilbara Minerals Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pilbara Minerals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pilbara Minerals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pilbara Minerals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pilbara pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Pilbara Pink Sheet

Pilbara Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pilbara Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pilbara with respect to the benefits of owning Pilbara Minerals security.