Park Electrochemical Stock Forward View
| PKE Stock | USD 23.68 0.68 2.79% |
Park Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Park Electrochemical stock prices and determine the direction of Park Electrochemical's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Park Electrochemical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength indicator of Park Electrochemical's share price is at 55 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Park Electrochemical, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.877 | Wall Street Target Price 26 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.203 |
Using Park Electrochemical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Park Electrochemical from the perspective of Park Electrochemical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Park Electrochemical using Park Electrochemical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Park using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Park Electrochemical's stock price.
Park Electrochemical Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Park Electrochemical's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Park. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Park Electrochemical stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 18.1816 | Short Percent 0.0394 | Short Ratio 2.51 | Shares Short Prior Month 526 K | 50 Day MA 21.791 |
Park Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Park Electrochemical on the next trading day is expected to be 22.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.01.Park Electrochemical Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Park Electrochemical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Park. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Park can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Park Electrochemical. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Park Electrochemical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Park Electrochemical.
Park Electrochemical Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
Park Electrochemical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Park Electrochemical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Park Electrochemical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Park Electrochemical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Park Electrochemical's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Park Electrochemical on the next trading day is expected to be 22.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.01. Park Electrochemical after-hype prediction price | USD 24.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Park Electrochemical to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Park contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Park Electrochemical will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0519% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Park Electrochemical trading at USD 23.68, that is roughly USD 0.0123 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Park Electrochemical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Park Electrochemical options at the current volatility level of 0.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Park Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Park Electrochemical's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Park Electrochemical's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Park Electrochemical stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Park Electrochemical's open interest, investors have to compare it to Park Electrochemical's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Park Electrochemical is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Park. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Park Electrochemical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Park price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Park using various technical indicators. When you analyze Park charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Park Electrochemical Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Park Electrochemical's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 29.5 M | Current Value 50.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 52.5 M |
Park Electrochemical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Park Electrochemical on the next trading day is expected to be 22.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Park Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Park Electrochemical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Park Electrochemical Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Park Electrochemical | Park Electrochemical Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Park Electrochemical Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Park Electrochemical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Park Electrochemical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.58 and 25.37, respectively. We have considered Park Electrochemical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Park Electrochemical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Park Electrochemical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8784 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4265 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0194 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.0148 |
Predictive Modules for Park Electrochemical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Park Electrochemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Park Electrochemical After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Park Electrochemical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Park Electrochemical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Park Electrochemical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Park Electrochemical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Park Electrochemical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Park Electrochemical's historical news coverage. Park Electrochemical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.97 and 26.75, respectively. We have considered Park Electrochemical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Park Electrochemical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Park Electrochemical is based on 3 months time horizon.
Park Electrochemical Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Park Electrochemical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Park Electrochemical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Park Electrochemical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.39 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.68 | 24.36 | 0.00 |
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Park Electrochemical Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February Park Electrochemical is traded for 23.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Park is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on Park Electrochemical is about 5558.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.70. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Park Electrochemical was at this time reported as 5.35. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.36. Park Electrochemical last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2026. The entity had 3:2 split on the 9th of November 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Park Electrochemical to cross-verify your projections.Park Electrochemical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Park Electrochemical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Park Electrochemical's future price movements. Getting to know how Park Electrochemical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Park Electrochemical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SWBI | Smith Wesson Brands | 0.12 | 9 per month | 1.89 | 0.06 | 4.08 | (2.73) | 25.97 | |
| EVTL | Vertical Aerospace | 0.33 | 8 per month | 5.00 | 0.03 | 9.38 | (5.42) | 32.52 | |
| BYRN | Byrna Technologies | 0.36 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.35 | (5.41) | 12.95 | |
| AIRO | AIRO Group Holdings | 0.47 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 10.18 | (11.39) | 23.45 | |
| ASLE | AerSale Corp | 0.09 | 8 per month | 2.52 | (0.01) | 2.92 | (2.77) | 12.15 | |
| ZIP | Ziprecruiter | (0.18) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 5.02 | (6.64) | 18.26 | |
| ORN | Orion Group Holdings | (0.01) | 9 per month | 2.81 | 0.11 | 5.34 | (5.52) | 18.04 | |
| TITN | Titan Machinery | (0.85) | 9 per month | 2.51 | 0.02 | 4.51 | (4.59) | 27.01 | |
| HSHP | Himalaya Shipping | (0.18) | 7 per month | 1.97 | 0.19 | 4.63 | (3.69) | 12.50 | |
| BW | Babcock Wilcox Enterprises | 0.28 | 9 per month | 4.54 | 0.27 | 13.18 | (7.60) | 44.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for Park Electrochemical
For every potential investor in Park, whether a beginner or expert, Park Electrochemical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Park Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Park. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Park Electrochemical's price trends.Park Electrochemical Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Park Electrochemical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Park Electrochemical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Park Electrochemical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Park Electrochemical Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Park Electrochemical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Park Electrochemical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Park Electrochemical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Park Electrochemical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Park Electrochemical Risk Indicators
The analysis of Park Electrochemical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Park Electrochemical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting park stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.33 | |||
| Variance | 5.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.98 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Park Electrochemical
The number of cover stories for Park Electrochemical depends on current market conditions and Park Electrochemical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Park Electrochemical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Park Electrochemical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Park Electrochemical Short Properties
Park Electrochemical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Park Electrochemical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Park Electrochemical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Park Electrochemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Park Electrochemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 68.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Park Electrochemical to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Park Stock refer to our How to Trade Park Stock guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Will Aerospace & Defense sector continue expanding? Could Park diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Park Electrochemical. Anticipated expansion of Park directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Park Electrochemical data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.877 | Dividend Share 0.5 | Earnings Share 0.43 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.203 |
Investors evaluate Park Electrochemical using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Park Electrochemical's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Park Electrochemical's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Park Electrochemical's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Park Electrochemical should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Park Electrochemical's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.