Planet Labs Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PL Stock | USD 26.06 0.32 1.21% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Planet Labs PBC on the next trading day is expected to be 28.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.52. Planet Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Planet Labs' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Planet Labs' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Planet Labs fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Planet Labs' stock price is about 68 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Planet, making its price go up or down. Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.07) | Wall Street Target Price 24.1556 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.04) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.326 |
Using Planet Labs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Planet Labs PBC from the perspective of Planet Labs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Planet Labs using Planet Labs' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Planet using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Planet Labs' stock price.
Planet Labs Short Interest
An investor who is long Planet Labs may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Planet Labs and may potentially protect profits, hedge Planet Labs with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 9.8715 | Short Percent 0.1345 | Short Ratio 2.55 | Shares Short Prior Month 29.9 M | 50 Day MA 17.2604 |
Planet Labs PBC Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Planet Labs' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Planet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Planet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Planet Labs PBC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Planet Labs Implied Volatility | 1.22 |
Planet Labs' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Planet Labs PBC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Planet Labs' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Planet Labs stock will not fluctuate a lot when Planet Labs' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Planet Labs PBC on the next trading day is expected to be 28.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.52.
Planet Labs after-hype prediction price | USD 26.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Planet Labs to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Planet contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Planet Labs PBC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0763% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Planet Labs trading at USD 26.06, that is roughly USD 0.0199 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Planet Labs' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Planet Labs PBC options at the current volatility level of 1.22%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Planet Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Planet Labs' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Planet Labs' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Planet Labs stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Planet Labs' open interest, investors have to compare it to Planet Labs' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Planet Labs is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Planet. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Planet Labs Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Planet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Planet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Planet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Planet Labs Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Planet Labs' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-04-30 | Previous Quarter 187.4 M | Current Value 443.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 145.6 M |
Planet Labs Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Planet Labs PBC on the next trading day is expected to be 28.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Planet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Planet Labs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Planet Labs Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Planet Labs | Planet Labs Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Planet Labs Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Planet Labs' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Planet Labs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.33 and 34.32, respectively. We have considered Planet Labs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Planet Labs stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Planet Labs stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3498 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8773 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0484 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.5174 |
Predictive Modules for Planet Labs
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Planet Labs PBC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Planet Labs After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Planet Labs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Planet Labs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Planet Labs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Planet Labs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Planet Labs' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Planet Labs' historical news coverage. Planet Labs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.10 and 32.02, respectively. We have considered Planet Labs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Planet Labs is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Planet Labs PBC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Planet Labs Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Planet Labs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Planet Labs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Planet Labs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.28 | 5.99 | 2.74 | 0.31 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.06 | 26.06 | 0.00 |
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Planet Labs Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 Planet Labs PBC is listed for 26.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.74, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.31. Planet is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Planet Labs is about 2434.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.37. About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.43. Planet Labs PBC last dividend was issued on the November 14, 2014. The entity had 2:1 split on the April 2, 1998. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Planet Labs to cross-verify your projections.Planet Labs Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Planet Labs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Planet Labs' future price movements. Getting to know how Planet Labs' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Planet Labs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPR | Spirit Aerosystems Holdings | (1.05) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.29 | (3.30) | 7.96 | |
| VSEC | VSE Corporation | 1.96 | 12 per month | 1.71 | 0.14 | 4.51 | (3.15) | 12.04 | |
| FLY | Firefly Aerospace Common | 0.06 | 7 per month | 6.46 | 0.05 | 12.30 | (12.87) | 36.50 | |
| EOSE | Eos Energy Enterprises | (0.94) | 14 per month | 5.43 | 0.06 | 11.94 | (9.57) | 31.35 | |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems | 4.07 | 10 per month | 2.12 | 0.13 | 4.65 | (3.62) | 12.66 | |
| SKYW | SkyWest | 0.05 | 4 per month | 1.92 | (0) | 3.94 | (2.46) | 11.11 | |
| AGX | Argan Inc | (1.05) | 28 per month | 3.83 | 0.1 | 7.40 | (7.35) | 22.90 | |
| TPC | Tutor Perini | (0.71) | 23 per month | 2.15 | 0.08 | 4.50 | (4.24) | 11.99 | |
| WSC | Willscot Mobile Mini | 0.15 | 10 per month | 3.09 | (0) | 5.76 | (5.25) | 15.73 | |
| MWA | Mueller Water Products | (0.08) | 8 per month | 1.40 | 0 | 2.38 | (1.95) | 5.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Planet Labs
For every potential investor in Planet, whether a beginner or expert, Planet Labs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Planet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Planet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Planet Labs' price trends.Planet Labs Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Planet Labs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Planet Labs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Planet Labs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Planet Labs Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Planet Labs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Planet Labs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Planet Labs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Planet Labs PBC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.06 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.06 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.32) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 68.48 |
Planet Labs Risk Indicators
The analysis of Planet Labs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Planet Labs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting planet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.83 | |||
| Variance | 34.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Planet Labs
The number of cover stories for Planet Labs depends on current market conditions and Planet Labs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Planet Labs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Planet Labs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Planet Labs Short Properties
Planet Labs' future price predictability will typically decrease when Planet Labs' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Planet Labs PBC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Planet Labs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Planet Labs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 292.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 228.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Planet Labs to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Planet Labs. If investors know Planet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Planet Labs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.43) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.326 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Planet Labs PBC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Planet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Planet Labs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Planet Labs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Planet Labs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Planet Labs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Planet Labs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Planet Labs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Planet Labs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.