Premier Marketing Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

PM Stock  THB 12.70  0.20  1.60%   
Premier Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of Premier Marketing's share price is at 57 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Premier Marketing, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Premier Marketing's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Premier Marketing Public, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Premier Marketing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Premier Marketing Public from the perspective of Premier Marketing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Premier Marketing Public on the next trading day is expected to be 12.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.25.

Premier Marketing after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 12.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Premier Marketing to cross-verify your projections.

Premier Marketing Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Premier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Premier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Premier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Premier Marketing price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Premier Marketing Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Premier Marketing Public on the next trading day is expected to be 12.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Premier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Premier Marketing's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Premier Marketing Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Premier Marketing  Premier Marketing Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Premier Marketing Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Premier Marketing's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Premier Marketing's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.59 and 13.34, respectively. We have considered Premier Marketing's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.70
12.46
Expected Value
13.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Premier Marketing stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Premier Marketing stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0665
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.117
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0098
SAESum of the absolute errors7.2537
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Premier Marketing Public historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Premier Marketing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Premier Marketing Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.8212.7013.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4412.3213.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
7.9012.4116.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Premier Marketing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Premier Marketing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Premier Marketing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Premier Marketing Public.

Premier Marketing After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Premier Marketing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Premier Marketing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Premier Marketing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Premier Marketing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Premier Marketing's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Premier Marketing's historical news coverage. Premier Marketing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.82 and 13.58, respectively. We have considered Premier Marketing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.70
12.70
After-hype Price
13.58
Upside
Premier Marketing is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Premier Marketing Public is based on 3 months time horizon.

Premier Marketing Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Premier Marketing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Premier Marketing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Premier Marketing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
0.88
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.70
12.70
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Premier Marketing Hype Timeline

Premier Marketing Public is at this time traded for 12.70on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Premier is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Premier Marketing is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.70. About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Premier Marketing was at this time reported as 2.5. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Premier Marketing to cross-verify your projections.

Premier Marketing Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Premier Marketing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Premier Marketing's future price movements. Getting to know how Premier Marketing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Premier Marketing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Premier Marketing

For every potential investor in Premier, whether a beginner or expert, Premier Marketing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Premier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Premier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Premier Marketing's price trends.

Premier Marketing Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Premier Marketing stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Premier Marketing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Premier Marketing by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Premier Marketing Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Premier Marketing stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Premier Marketing shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Premier Marketing stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Premier Marketing Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Premier Marketing Risk Indicators

The analysis of Premier Marketing's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Premier Marketing's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting premier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Premier Marketing

The number of cover stories for Premier Marketing depends on current market conditions and Premier Marketing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Premier Marketing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Premier Marketing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Premier Marketing Short Properties

Premier Marketing's future price predictability will typically decrease when Premier Marketing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Premier Marketing Public often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Premier Marketing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Premier Marketing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding558.1 M
Dividends Paid306.9 M
Short Long Term Debt184.7 M

Other Information on Investing in Premier Stock

Premier Marketing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Premier Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Premier with respect to the benefits of owning Premier Marketing security.