Putnam Municipal Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| PMO Stock | USD 10.46 0.03 0.29% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Putnam Municipal Opportunities on the next trading day is expected to be 10.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.73. Putnam Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Putnam Municipal's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Putnam Municipal's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Putnam Municipal fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Putnam Municipal's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.568 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 |
Using Putnam Municipal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Putnam Municipal Opportunities from the perspective of Putnam Municipal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Putnam Municipal Opportunities on the next trading day is expected to be 10.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.73. Putnam Municipal after-hype prediction price | USD 10.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Putnam Municipal to cross-verify your projections. Putnam Municipal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Putnam price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Putnam using various technical indicators. When you analyze Putnam charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Putnam Municipal Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Putnam Municipal Opportunities on the next trading day is expected to be 10.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Putnam Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Putnam Municipal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Putnam Municipal Stock Forecast Pattern
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Putnam Municipal Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Putnam Municipal's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Putnam Municipal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.17 and 11.05, respectively. We have considered Putnam Municipal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Putnam Municipal stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Putnam Municipal stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7282 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0602 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0058 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.7325 |
Predictive Modules for Putnam Municipal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Putnam Municipal Opp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Putnam Municipal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Putnam Municipal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Putnam Municipal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Putnam Municipal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Putnam Municipal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Putnam Municipal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Putnam Municipal's historical news coverage. Putnam Municipal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.02 and 10.90, respectively. We have considered Putnam Municipal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Putnam Municipal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Putnam Municipal Opp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Putnam Municipal Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Putnam Municipal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Putnam Municipal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Putnam Municipal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.46 | 10.46 | 0.00 |
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Putnam Municipal Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January Putnam Municipal Opp is traded for 10.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.11. Putnam is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Putnam Municipal is about 11.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.35. About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.93. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Putnam Municipal Opp last dividend was issued on the 23rd of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Putnam Municipal to cross-verify your projections.Putnam Municipal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Putnam Municipal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Putnam Municipal's future price movements. Getting to know how Putnam Municipal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Putnam Municipal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PMM | Putnam Managed Municipal | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.44 | (0.07) | 1.13 | (0.97) | 3.88 | |
| NBH | Neuberger Berman IMF | (0.01) | 15 per month | 0.35 | (0.15) | 0.69 | (0.67) | 1.87 | |
| PPT | Putnam Premier Income | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.51 | (0.07) | 1.13 | (1.12) | 2.55 | |
| BULIX | Utilities Fund Investor | 0.1 | 1 per month | 0.77 | (0.01) | 1.16 | (1.35) | 11.38 | |
| SWYLX | Schwab Target 2020 | (0.07) | 1 per month | 0.27 | (0.17) | 0.58 | (0.51) | 1.59 | |
| CPZ | Calamos LongShort Equity | (1.25) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.75 | (0.82) | 2.38 | |
| ZTR | Virtus Global Dividend | (0.01) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.95 | (1.07) | 2.36 | |
| SMAYX | Small Cap Growth | (16.63) | 3 per month | 0.99 | 0.09 | 1.92 | (1.78) | 10.45 | |
| HNVIX | Heartland Value Plus | (21.02) | 1 per month | 0.90 | 0.03 | 2.06 | (1.46) | 4.31 | |
| HRVIX | Heartland Value Plus | 0.50 | 1 per month | 0.90 | 0.03 | 2.07 | (1.45) | 4.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Putnam Municipal
For every potential investor in Putnam, whether a beginner or expert, Putnam Municipal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Putnam Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Putnam. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Putnam Municipal's price trends.Putnam Municipal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Putnam Municipal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Putnam Municipal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Putnam Municipal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Putnam Municipal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Putnam Municipal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Putnam Municipal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Putnam Municipal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Putnam Municipal Opportunities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 543.4 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.38) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.44 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.45 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
Putnam Municipal Risk Indicators
The analysis of Putnam Municipal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Putnam Municipal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting putnam stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3028 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2955 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4244 | |||
| Variance | 0.1801 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1494 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0873 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Putnam Municipal
The number of cover stories for Putnam Municipal depends on current market conditions and Putnam Municipal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Putnam Municipal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Putnam Municipal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Putnam Municipal Short Properties
Putnam Municipal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Putnam Municipal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Putnam Municipal Opportunities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Putnam Municipal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Putnam Municipal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 72.3 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Putnam Municipal to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Putnam Municipal. If investors know Putnam will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Putnam Municipal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.568 | Dividend Share 0.444 | Earnings Share 0.18 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 |
The market value of Putnam Municipal Opp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Putnam that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Putnam Municipal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Putnam Municipal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Putnam Municipal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Putnam Municipal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Putnam Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Putnam Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Putnam Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.