Er Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PNGM Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Er Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. PNGM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Er Therapeutics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Er Therapeutics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Er Therapeutics fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Er Therapeutics' Other Current Liabilities is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 11th of December 2024, Accounts Payable is likely to grow to about 387 K, while Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop about 308.4 K.

Er Therapeutics Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Er Therapeutics' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
317.7
Current Value
301.82
Quarterly Volatility
882.96249698
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Er Therapeutics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Er Therapeutics value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Er Therapeutics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Er Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PNGM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Er Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Er Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Er TherapeuticsEr Therapeutics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Er Therapeutics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Er Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Er Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Er Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Er Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Er Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Er Therapeutics. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Er Therapeutics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Er Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Er Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Er Therapeutics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Er Therapeutics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Er Therapeutics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Er Therapeutics.

Other Forecasting Options for Er Therapeutics

For every potential investor in PNGM, whether a beginner or expert, Er Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PNGM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PNGM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Er Therapeutics' price trends.

Er Therapeutics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Er Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Er Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Er Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Er Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Er Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Er Therapeutics' current price.

Er Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Er Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Er Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Er Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Er Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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When determining whether Er Therapeutics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Er Therapeutics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Er Therapeutics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding PNGM Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Er Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in PNGM Stock, please use our How to Invest in Er Therapeutics guide.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Er Therapeutics. If investors know PNGM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Er Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Return On Assets
(0.95)
The market value of Er Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PNGM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Er Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Er Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Er Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Er Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Er Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Er Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Er Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.