Er Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PNGM Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Er Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. PNGM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Er Therapeutics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Er Therapeutics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Er Therapeutics fundamentals over time.
PNGM |
Er Therapeutics Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Er Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PNGM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Er Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Er Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern
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Er Therapeutics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Er Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Er Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Er Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Er Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Er Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Er Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Er Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Er Therapeutics
For every potential investor in PNGM, whether a beginner or expert, Er Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PNGM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PNGM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Er Therapeutics' price trends.Er Therapeutics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Er Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Er Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Er Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Er Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Er Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Er Therapeutics' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Er Therapeutics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Er Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Er Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Er Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Er Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Er Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in PNGM Stock, please use our How to Invest in Er Therapeutics guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Er Therapeutics. If investors know PNGM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Er Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Return On Assets (0.95) |
The market value of Er Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PNGM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Er Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Er Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Er Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Er Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Er Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Er Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Er Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.