Pentair PLC Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

PNR Stock  USD 94.82  10.69  10.13%   
Pentair Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Pentair PLC's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Pentair PLC's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Pentair PLC fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Pentair PLC's share price is approaching 35 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pentair PLC, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 35

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pentair PLC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pentair PLC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pentair PLC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pentair PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Pentair PLC's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.333
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.1614
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.8989
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.3697
Wall Street Target Price
118.5263
Using Pentair PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pentair PLC from the perspective of Pentair PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pentair PLC using Pentair PLC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pentair using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pentair PLC's stock price.

Pentair PLC Short Interest

An investor who is long Pentair PLC may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Pentair PLC and may potentially protect profits, hedge Pentair PLC with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
103.6905
Short Percent
0.0283
Short Ratio
2.54
Shares Short Prior Month
3.5 M
50 Day MA
104.841

Pentair Relative Strength Index

The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pentair PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 100.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.46.

Pentair PLC Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Pentair PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pentair. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pentair can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pentair PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pentair PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pentair PLC.

Pentair PLC Implied Volatility

    
  0.33  
Pentair PLC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pentair PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pentair PLC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pentair PLC stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pentair PLC's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pentair PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 100.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.46.

Pentair PLC after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 105.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pentair PLC to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Pentair Stock, please use our How to Invest in Pentair PLC guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pentair contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pentair PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0206% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Pentair PLC trading at USD 94.82, that is roughly USD 0.0196 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pentair PLC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pentair PLC options at the current volatility level of 0.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Pentair Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Pentair PLC's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Pentair PLC's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Pentair PLC stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Pentair PLC's open interest, investors have to compare it to Pentair PLC's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Pentair PLC is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Pentair. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Pentair PLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pentair price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pentair using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pentair charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Pentair PLC is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Pentair PLC Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pentair PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 100.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31, mean absolute percentage error of 4.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pentair Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pentair PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pentair PLC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pentair PLC  Pentair PLC Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Pentair PLC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pentair PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pentair PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 98.69 and 101.64, respectively. We have considered Pentair PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
94.82
100.16
Expected Value
101.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pentair PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pentair PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8689
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2146
MADMean absolute deviation1.3129
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0128
SAESum of the absolute errors77.46
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Pentair PLC price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Pentair PLC. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Pentair PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pentair PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
104.02105.49106.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.96111.67113.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
100.91104.98109.04
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
107.86118.53131.56
Details

Pentair PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pentair PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pentair PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pentair PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pentair PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pentair PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pentair PLC's historical news coverage. Pentair PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 104.02 and 106.96, respectively. We have considered Pentair PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
94.82
104.02
Downside
105.49
After-hype Price
106.96
Upside
Pentair PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pentair PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pentair PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pentair PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pentair PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pentair PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
1.47
  0.02 
  0.05 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
94.82
105.49
0.02 
138.68  
Notes

Pentair PLC Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of February Pentair PLC is traded for 94.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Pentair is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 105.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 138.68%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Pentair PLC is about 64.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 94.87. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Pentair PLC was at this time reported as 23.11. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.58. Pentair PLC last dividend was issued on the 23rd of January 2026. The entity had 1489:1000 split on the 1st of May 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pentair PLC to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Pentair Stock, please use our How to Invest in Pentair PLC guide.

Pentair PLC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pentair PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pentair PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Pentair PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pentair PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ITTITT Inc(0.56)7 per month 1.77  0.02  2.20 (2.11) 17.49 
GGGGraco Inc(0.14)6 per month 1.11  0.04  2.46 (1.86) 6.74 
ACMAecom Technology(2.45)11 per month 0.00 (0.26) 1.46 (2.59) 12.17 
IEXIDEX Corporation 1.04 10 per month 0.73  0.16  2.68 (1.79) 6.54 
LIILennox International 1.61 9 per month 1.57 (0.03) 2.75 (2.66) 8.58 
SNASnap On 10.19 9 per month 0.77  0.09  1.94 (1.45) 3.63 
NDSNNordson 5.14 7 per month 0.71  0.16  2.33 (1.31) 4.63 
CHRWCH Robinson Worldwide(1.78)9 per month 0.42  0.23  3.08 (1.70) 22.91 
FTAIFTAI Aviation 11.02 10 per month 2.74  0.18  6.86 (4.53) 17.39 
DCIDonaldson(1.34)9 per month 0.78  0.17  2.27 (1.74) 9.29 

Other Forecasting Options for Pentair PLC

For every potential investor in Pentair, whether a beginner or expert, Pentair PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pentair Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pentair. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pentair PLC's price trends.

Pentair PLC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pentair PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pentair PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pentair PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pentair PLC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pentair PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pentair PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pentair PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pentair PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pentair PLC Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pentair PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pentair PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pentair stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Pentair PLC

The number of cover stories for Pentair PLC depends on current market conditions and Pentair PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pentair PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pentair PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Pentair PLC Short Properties

Pentair PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pentair PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pentair PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pentair PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pentair PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding167.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments118.7 M

Additional Tools for Pentair Stock Analysis

When running Pentair PLC's price analysis, check to measure Pentair PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pentair PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Pentair PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pentair PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pentair PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pentair PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.