Pinnacle West Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| PNW Stock | USD 93.52 1.07 1.13% |
Pinnacle Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Pinnacle West's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.006 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.0079 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.6747 | Wall Street Target Price 95.9231 |
Using Pinnacle West hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pinnacle West Capital from the perspective of Pinnacle West response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pinnacle West using Pinnacle West's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pinnacle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pinnacle West's stock price.
Pinnacle West Short Interest
An investor who is long Pinnacle West may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Pinnacle West and may potentially protect profits, hedge Pinnacle West with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 90.3485 | Short Percent 0.0685 | Short Ratio 4.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.7 M | 50 Day MA 89.9322 |
Pinnacle Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pinnacle West Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 92.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.69.Pinnacle West Capital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Pinnacle West's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pinnacle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pinnacle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pinnacle West Capital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pinnacle West's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pinnacle West.
Pinnacle West Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Pinnacle West's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pinnacle West Capital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pinnacle West's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pinnacle West stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pinnacle West's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pinnacle West Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 92.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.69. Pinnacle West after-hype prediction price | USD 94.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pinnacle West to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pinnacle contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pinnacle West Capital will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Pinnacle West trading at USD 93.52, that is roughly USD 0.0228 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pinnacle West's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pinnacle West Capital options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Pinnacle Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Pinnacle West's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Pinnacle West's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Pinnacle West stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Pinnacle West's open interest, investors have to compare it to Pinnacle West's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Pinnacle West is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Pinnacle. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Pinnacle West Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pinnacle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pinnacle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pinnacle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pinnacle West Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Pinnacle West Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 92.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49, mean absolute percentage error of 2.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pinnacle Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pinnacle West's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pinnacle West Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pinnacle West | Pinnacle West Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Pinnacle West Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pinnacle West's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pinnacle West's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 91.18 and 93.05, respectively. We have considered Pinnacle West's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pinnacle West stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pinnacle West stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.1226 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4867 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 90.6862 |
Predictive Modules for Pinnacle West
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pinnacle West Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pinnacle West After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pinnacle West at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pinnacle West or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pinnacle West, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pinnacle West Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pinnacle West's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pinnacle West's historical news coverage. Pinnacle West's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 93.78 and 95.64, respectively. We have considered Pinnacle West's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pinnacle West is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pinnacle West Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pinnacle West Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pinnacle West is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pinnacle West backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pinnacle West, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 0.93 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
93.52 | 94.71 | 0.13 |
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Pinnacle West Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February Pinnacle West Capital is traded for 93.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Pinnacle is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 94.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 120.78%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Pinnacle West is about 2188.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 93.53. The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.12 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 626.03 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.18 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pinnacle West to cross-verify your projections.Pinnacle West Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pinnacle West's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pinnacle West's future price movements. Getting to know how Pinnacle West's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pinnacle West may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OGE | OGE Energy | (0.52) | 7 per month | 0.89 | (0.04) | 1.36 | (1.46) | 3.57 | |
| WTRG | Essential Utilities | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.17 | (2.28) | 6.73 | |
| ENEAY | ENEA S A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.30 | 9 per month | 1.08 | (0.05) | 1.32 | (1.44) | 5.00 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | 0.98 | 8 per month | 0.84 | 0.06 | 1.66 | (1.35) | 4.65 | |
| EMA | Emera Incorporated | (0.36) | 9 per month | 0.77 | 0.06 | 1.61 | (1.24) | 4.24 | |
| AES | The AES | (0.40) | 10 per month | 1.42 | 0.09 | 3.38 | (2.49) | 8.85 | |
| POR | Portland General Electric | 0.33 | 9 per month | 0.71 | 0.14 | 2.20 | (1.23) | 5.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pinnacle West
For every potential investor in Pinnacle, whether a beginner or expert, Pinnacle West's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pinnacle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pinnacle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pinnacle West's price trends.Pinnacle West Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pinnacle West stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pinnacle West could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pinnacle West by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pinnacle West Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pinnacle West stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pinnacle West shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pinnacle West stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pinnacle West Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 31342.49 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.43) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 94.44 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 94.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.45) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.07) |
Pinnacle West Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pinnacle West's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pinnacle West's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pinnacle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7481 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7165 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9393 | |||
| Variance | 0.8823 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.773 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5134 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pinnacle West
The number of cover stories for Pinnacle West depends on current market conditions and Pinnacle West's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pinnacle West is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pinnacle West's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Pinnacle West Short Properties
Pinnacle West's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pinnacle West's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pinnacle West Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pinnacle West's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pinnacle West's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 M |
Additional Tools for Pinnacle Stock Analysis
When running Pinnacle West's price analysis, check to measure Pinnacle West's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pinnacle West is operating at the current time. Most of Pinnacle West's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pinnacle West's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pinnacle West's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pinnacle West to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.