Polished Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| POLCQ Stock | 0.0004 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Polished hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Polished from the perspective of Polished response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Polished on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000012 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007. Polished after-hype prediction price | USD 3.12E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Polished |
Polished Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Polished price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Polished using various technical indicators. When you analyze Polished charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Polished Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Polished on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000012, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Polished Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Polished's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Polished Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
Polished Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Polished's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Polished's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000004 and 17.77, respectively. We have considered Polished's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Polished pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Polished pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0452 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.0E-4 |
Predictive Modules for Polished
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Polished. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Polished's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Polished Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Polished at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Polished or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Polished, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Polished Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Polished is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Polished backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Polished, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
3.55 | 17.77 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0004 | 0.0003 | 21.98 |
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Polished Hype Timeline
Polished is at this time traded for 0.0004. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.23. Polished is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.12E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -21.98%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 3.55%. The volatility of related hype on Polished is about 27765.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.23. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private.Polished Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Polished's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Polished's future price movements. Getting to know how Polished's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Polished may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRRAY | Barloworld Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.11 | 0.14 | 17.76 | (10.94) | 120.98 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | 0.08 | 0.93 | (1.09) | 12.28 | |
| ABHYX | High Yield Municipal Fund | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.23 | (0.23) | 0.92 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.57 | (0.49) | 3.30 | |
| KNF | Knife River | 0.55 | 9 per month | 2.28 | 0.09 | 4.35 | (3.57) | 16.62 | |
| KLKNF | Klckner Co SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 3.58 | 0.00 | 49.18 | |
| GBEN | Global Resource Ener | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QUAYX | Ab Small Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.63 | (0.01) | 2.03 | (2.39) | 6.54 | |
| SEGG | Lottery | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 28.00 | (18.76) | 101.30 | |
| KMX | CarMax Inc | (1.25) | 9 per month | 5.06 | 0.03 | 5.33 | (3.22) | 24.48 |
Other Forecasting Options for Polished
For every potential investor in Polished, whether a beginner or expert, Polished's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Polished Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Polished. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Polished's price trends.Polished Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Polished pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Polished could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Polished by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Polished Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Polished pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Polished shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Polished pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Polished entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 68.96 |
Polished Risk Indicators
The analysis of Polished's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Polished's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting polished pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 17.1 | |||
| Variance | 292.48 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Polished
The number of cover stories for Polished depends on current market conditions and Polished's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Polished is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Polished's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Polished Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Polished's price analysis, check to measure Polished's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Polished is operating at the current time. Most of Polished's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Polished's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Polished's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Polished to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.