PORR AG Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| POS Stock | EUR 38.15 0.40 1.06% |
PORR Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of PORR AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 15th of February 2026 the value of rsi of PORR AG's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using PORR AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PORR AG from the perspective of PORR AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of PORR AG on the next trading day is expected to be 39.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.27. PORR AG after-hype prediction price | EUR 38.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PORR |
PORR AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PORR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PORR using various technical indicators. When you analyze PORR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PORR AG Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of PORR AG on the next trading day is expected to be 39.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71, mean absolute percentage error of 0.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PORR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PORR AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PORR AG Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PORR AG | PORR AG Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
PORR AG Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PORR AG's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PORR AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.56 and 42.09, respectively. We have considered PORR AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PORR AG stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PORR AG stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7466 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7093 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.022 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 43.2674 |
Predictive Modules for PORR AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PORR AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PORR AG After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PORR AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PORR AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PORR AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PORR AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PORR AG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PORR AG's historical news coverage. PORR AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.87 and 40.43, respectively. We have considered PORR AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PORR AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PORR AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
PORR AG Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PORR AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PORR AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PORR AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 2.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
38.15 | 38.15 | 0.00 |
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PORR AG Hype Timeline
PORR AG is at this time traded for 38.15on Vienna Exchange of Austria. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PORR is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.61%. %. The volatility of related hype on PORR AG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.15. About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.69. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PORR AG last dividend was issued on the 23rd of June 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 26th of June 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PORR AG to cross-verify your projections.PORR AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PORR AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PORR AG's future price movements. Getting to know how PORR AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PORR AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PAL | Palfinger AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.19 | 3.55 | (2.50) | 8.47 | |
| RHIM | RHI Magnesita NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.76 | 0.22 | 4.29 | (3.51) | 18.68 | |
| ROS | Rosenbauer International AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | 0.07 | 2.95 | (3.06) | 9.41 | |
| POST | Oesterr Post AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | 0.17 | 1.82 | (1.22) | 3.31 | |
| FACC | Facc AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | 0.19 | 4.74 | (2.39) | 10.29 | |
| RAT | RATH Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.27 | (0.01) | 4.76 | (4.55) | 27.00 | |
| SEM | Semperit Aktiengesellschaft Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.01 | 2.59 | (2.73) | 9.61 | |
| DOC | DO Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.99 | 0.01 | 3.94 | (3.39) | 8.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for PORR AG
For every potential investor in PORR, whether a beginner or expert, PORR AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PORR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PORR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PORR AG's price trends.PORR AG Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PORR AG stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PORR AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PORR AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PORR AG Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PORR AG stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PORR AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PORR AG stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PORR AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PORR AG Risk Indicators
The analysis of PORR AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PORR AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting porr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PORR AG
The number of cover stories for PORR AG depends on current market conditions and PORR AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PORR AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PORR AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in PORR Stock
PORR AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether PORR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PORR with respect to the benefits of owning PORR AG security.