PORR AG Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

POS Stock  EUR 32.20  0.50  1.53%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PORR AG on the next trading day is expected to be 32.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.80. PORR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PORR AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 15th of January 2026 the value of rsi of PORR AG's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PORR AG's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PORR AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using PORR AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PORR AG from the perspective of PORR AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PORR AG on the next trading day is expected to be 32.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.80.

PORR AG after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 32.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PORR AG to cross-verify your projections.

PORR AG Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PORR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PORR using various technical indicators. When you analyze PORR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for PORR AG - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When PORR AG prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in PORR AG price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of PORR AG.

PORR AG Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PORR AG on the next trading day is expected to be 32.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PORR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PORR AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PORR AG Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest PORR AGPORR AG Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

PORR AG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PORR AG's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PORR AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.24 and 34.46, respectively. We have considered PORR AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.20
32.35
Expected Value
34.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PORR AG stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PORR AG stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1067
MADMean absolute deviation0.48
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0164
SAESum of the absolute errors28.8
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past PORR AG observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older PORR AG observations.

Predictive Modules for PORR AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PORR AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.0932.2034.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.8425.9535.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PORR AG

For every potential investor in PORR, whether a beginner or expert, PORR AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PORR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PORR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PORR AG's price trends.

PORR AG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PORR AG stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PORR AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PORR AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PORR AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PORR AG's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PORR AG's current price.

PORR AG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PORR AG stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PORR AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PORR AG stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PORR AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PORR AG Risk Indicators

The analysis of PORR AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PORR AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting porr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in PORR Stock

PORR AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether PORR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PORR with respect to the benefits of owning PORR AG security.