Pilgrims Pride Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PPC Stock | USD 42.03 0.30 0.72% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pilgrims Pride Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 42.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.65. Pilgrims Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Pilgrims Pride stock prices and determine the direction of Pilgrims Pride Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pilgrims Pride's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Pilgrims Pride's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.81 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.2243 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.3414 | Wall Street Target Price 43.5714 |
Using Pilgrims Pride hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pilgrims Pride Corp from the perspective of Pilgrims Pride response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pilgrims Pride using Pilgrims Pride's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pilgrims using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pilgrims Pride's stock price.
Pilgrims Pride Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Pilgrims Pride's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Pilgrims. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Pilgrims Pride stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 43.7714 | Short Percent 0.0244 | Short Ratio 5.93 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.2 M | 50 Day MA 39.0872 |
Pilgrims Pride Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Pilgrims Pride's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pilgrims. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pilgrims can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pilgrims Pride Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Pilgrims Pride Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
Pilgrims Pride's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pilgrims Pride Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pilgrims Pride's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pilgrims Pride stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pilgrims Pride's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pilgrims Pride Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 42.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.65. Pilgrims Pride after-hype prediction price | USD 42.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pilgrims Pride to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pilgrims contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pilgrims Pride Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Pilgrims Pride trading at USD 42.03, that is roughly USD 0.009194 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pilgrims Pride's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pilgrims Pride Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Pilgrims Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Pilgrims Pride's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Pilgrims Pride's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Pilgrims Pride stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Pilgrims Pride's open interest, investors have to compare it to Pilgrims Pride's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Pilgrims Pride is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Pilgrims. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Pilgrims Pride Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pilgrims price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pilgrims using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pilgrims charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pilgrims Pride Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pilgrims Pride Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 42.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pilgrims Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pilgrims Pride's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pilgrims Pride Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pilgrims Pride | Pilgrims Pride Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Pilgrims Pride Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pilgrims Pride's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pilgrims Pride's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 40.47 and 43.59, respectively. We have considered Pilgrims Pride's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pilgrims Pride stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pilgrims Pride stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3044 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0675 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4275 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.65 |
Predictive Modules for Pilgrims Pride
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pilgrims Pride Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pilgrims Pride After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pilgrims Pride at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pilgrims Pride or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pilgrims Pride, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pilgrims Pride Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pilgrims Pride's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pilgrims Pride's historical news coverage. Pilgrims Pride's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.70 and 43.82, respectively. We have considered Pilgrims Pride's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pilgrims Pride is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pilgrims Pride Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pilgrims Pride Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pilgrims Pride is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pilgrims Pride backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pilgrims Pride, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.56 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
42.03 | 42.26 | 0.55 |
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Pilgrims Pride Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January Pilgrims Pride Corp is traded for 42.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Pilgrims is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 42.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 122.83%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.55%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Pilgrims Pride is about 2925.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.04. The company reported the last year's revenue of 17.88 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.09 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.48 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pilgrims Pride to cross-verify your projections.Pilgrims Pride Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pilgrims Pride's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pilgrims Pride's future price movements. Getting to know how Pilgrims Pride's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pilgrims Pride may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPB | Campbells Co | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.28 | (3.12) | 8.15 | |
| CAG | ConAgra Foods | 0.28 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.29 | (2.53) | 7.20 | |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.51 | (2.96) | 30.35 | |
| TAP | Molson Coors Brewing | 0.36 | 9 per month | 1.62 | 0.02 | 3.30 | (2.55) | 8.40 | |
| INGR | Ingredion Incorporated | 0.66 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.26 | (1.63) | 6.05 | |
| SFD | Smithfield Foods Common | 0.05 | 10 per month | 1.02 | (0.01) | 2.15 | (1.60) | 8.32 | |
| ACI | Albertsons Companies | (0.38) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.47 | (1.99) | 8.43 | |
| SJM | The J M | (1.83) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.58 | (2.38) | 6.31 | |
| HRL | Hormel Foods | 1.27 | 26 per month | 1.84 | (0) | 2.36 | (2.00) | 9.63 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pilgrims Pride
For every potential investor in Pilgrims, whether a beginner or expert, Pilgrims Pride's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pilgrims Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pilgrims. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pilgrims Pride's price trends.Pilgrims Pride Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pilgrims Pride stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pilgrims Pride could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pilgrims Pride by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pilgrims Pride Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pilgrims Pride stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pilgrims Pride shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pilgrims Pride stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pilgrims Pride Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pilgrims Pride Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pilgrims Pride's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pilgrims Pride's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pilgrims stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pilgrims Pride
The number of cover stories for Pilgrims Pride depends on current market conditions and Pilgrims Pride's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pilgrims Pride is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pilgrims Pride's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Pilgrims Pride Short Properties
Pilgrims Pride's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pilgrims Pride's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pilgrims Pride Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pilgrims Pride's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pilgrims Pride's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 237.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pilgrims Pride to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pilgrims Pride. If investors know Pilgrims will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pilgrims Pride listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Earnings Share 5.16 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.038 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Pilgrims Pride Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pilgrims that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pilgrims Pride's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pilgrims Pride's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pilgrims Pride's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pilgrims Pride's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pilgrims Pride's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pilgrims Pride is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pilgrims Pride's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.