Molson Coors Brewing Stock Price Prediction

TAP Stock  USD 60.36  0.11  0.18%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Molson Coors' share price is above 70 as of today. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Molson, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

75

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Molson Coors' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Molson Coors Brewing, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Molson Coors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Molson Coors Brewing from the perspective of Molson Coors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Molson Coors to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Molson because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Molson Coors after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 60.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Molson Coors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.3263.6465.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
57.7159.2160.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.2960.4060.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Molson Coors. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Molson Coors' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Molson Coors' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Molson Coors Brewing.

Molson Coors After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Molson Coors at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Molson Coors or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Molson Coors, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Molson Coors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Molson Coors' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Molson Coors' historical news coverage. Molson Coors' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.16 and 62.16, respectively. We have considered Molson Coors' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
60.36
60.66
After-hype Price
62.16
Upside
Molson Coors is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Molson Coors Brewing is based on 3 months time horizon.

Molson Coors Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Molson Coors is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Molson Coors backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Molson Coors, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
1.50
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
60.36
60.66
0.50 
0.00  
Notes

Molson Coors Hype Timeline

On the 24th of November Molson Coors Brewing is traded for 60.36. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Molson is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 60.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Molson Coors is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.36. The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.7 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 956.4 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.66 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Molson Coors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Molson Coors Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Molson Coors' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Molson Coors' future price movements. Getting to know how Molson Coors' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Molson Coors may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BDWBYBudweiser Brewing 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 7.76 (9.03) 22.76 
SAMBoston Beer 0.00 0 per month 1.50  0.03  2.83 (2.35) 6.57 
BUDFFAnheuser Busch InBev SANV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.61 (2.95) 10.36 
ABEVAmbev SA ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.20 (2.69) 6.42 
FMXFomento Economico Mexicano 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.36) 1.68 (2.41) 5.50 
CCUCompania Cervecerias Unidas 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.84 (2.43) 8.67 
BUDAnheuser Busch Inbev 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 1.36 (1.87) 9.38 
HEINYHeineken NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.36) 1.51 (2.02) 6.89 
STBFYSuntory Beverage Food 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.93 (2.71) 5.47 
KNBWYKirin Holdings Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HINKFHeineken NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 2.58 (3.23) 8.87 
CABGYCarlsberg AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.74 (2.54) 9.08 
TSGTYTsingtao Brewery Co 0.00 0 per month 3.77  0.05  9.66 (7.27) 33.66 

Molson Coors Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Molson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Molson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Molson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Molson Coors Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Molson Coors stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Molson Coors Brewing, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Molson Coors based on analysis of Molson Coors hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Molson Coors's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Molson Coors's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Molson Coors

The number of cover stories for Molson Coors depends on current market conditions and Molson Coors' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Molson Coors is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Molson Coors' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Molson Coors Short Properties

Molson Coors' future price predictability will typically decrease when Molson Coors' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Molson Coors Brewing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Molson Coors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Molson Coors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding217.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments868.9 M

Additional Tools for Molson Stock Analysis

When running Molson Coors' price analysis, check to measure Molson Coors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Molson Coors is operating at the current time. Most of Molson Coors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Molson Coors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Molson Coors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Molson Coors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.