Bank Mandiri Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| PPERY Stock | USD 11.76 0.17 1.42% |
Bank Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Bank Mandiri's share price is at 55 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bank Mandiri, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bank Mandiri hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank Mandiri Persero from the perspective of Bank Mandiri response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bank Mandiri Persero on the next trading day is expected to be 11.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.69. Bank Mandiri after-hype prediction price | USD 11.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bank |
Bank Mandiri Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bank Mandiri Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bank Mandiri Persero on the next trading day is expected to be 11.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank Mandiri's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bank Mandiri Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bank Mandiri | Bank Mandiri Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bank Mandiri Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bank Mandiri's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank Mandiri's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.28 and 13.24, respectively. We have considered Bank Mandiri's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank Mandiri pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank Mandiri pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.9401 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0284 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1448 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.685 |
Predictive Modules for Bank Mandiri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Mandiri Persero. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank Mandiri After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bank Mandiri at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank Mandiri or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bank Mandiri, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bank Mandiri Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bank Mandiri's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank Mandiri's historical news coverage. Bank Mandiri's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.21 and 13.31, respectively. We have considered Bank Mandiri's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bank Mandiri is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank Mandiri Persero is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bank Mandiri Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank Mandiri is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank Mandiri backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank Mandiri, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.48 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.76 | 11.76 | 0.00 |
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Bank Mandiri Hype Timeline
Bank Mandiri Persero is at this time traded for 11.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Bank is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bank Mandiri is about 1409.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.74. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 5.18. The company last dividend was issued on the 24th of March 2022. Bank Mandiri Persero had 10:1 split on the 5th of May 2010. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank Mandiri to cross-verify your projections.Bank Mandiri Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bank Mandiri's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank Mandiri's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank Mandiri's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank Mandiri may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MLYBY | Malayan Banking Berhad | (0.21) | 6 per month | 4.15 | 0.08 | 8.40 | (8.12) | 25.87 | |
| PSZKF | Powszechna Kasa Oszczednosci | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | 0.10 | 6.80 | (2.69) | 20.34 | |
| CEBCF | China Everbright Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 4.44 | 0.00 | 31.97 | |
| BKHPF | Bank Hapoalim BM | (0.21) | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 3.94 | 0.00 | 10.23 | |
| SBGOF | Standard Bank Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.46 | 0.06 | 15.28 | (13.52) | 43.18 | |
| SGBLY | Standard Bank Group | (0.21) | 3 per month | 1.26 | 0.19 | 2.86 | (2.54) | 6.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bank Mandiri
For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank Mandiri's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank Mandiri's price trends.Bank Mandiri Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank Mandiri pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank Mandiri could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank Mandiri by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bank Mandiri Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank Mandiri pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank Mandiri shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank Mandiri pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank Mandiri Persero entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bank Mandiri Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bank Mandiri's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank Mandiri's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Variance | 2.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bank Mandiri
The number of cover stories for Bank Mandiri depends on current market conditions and Bank Mandiri's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank Mandiri is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank Mandiri's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Bank Mandiri Short Properties
Bank Mandiri's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank Mandiri's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank Mandiri Persero often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank Mandiri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Mandiri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.7 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -16.8 T | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.5 | |
| Shares Float | 872.8 M |
Additional Tools for Bank Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Bank Mandiri's price analysis, check to measure Bank Mandiri's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Mandiri is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Mandiri's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Mandiri's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Mandiri's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Mandiri to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.