Pembina Pipeline Stock Forward View
| PPL Stock | CAD 56.02 0.56 0.99% |
Pembina Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Pembina Pipeline's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Pembina Pipeline's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Pembina Pipeline fundamentals over time.
The value of relative strength index of Pembina Pipeline's stock price is about 61 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pembina, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.831 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.766 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8478 | Wall Street Target Price 58.3333 |
Using Pembina Pipeline hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pembina Pipeline Corp from the perspective of Pembina Pipeline response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pembina Pipeline Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 56.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.01. Pembina Pipeline after-hype prediction price | CAD 56.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pembina |
Pembina Pipeline Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pembina price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pembina using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pembina charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pembina Pipeline Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pembina Pipeline Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 56.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pembina Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pembina Pipeline's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pembina Pipeline Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pembina Pipeline | Pembina Pipeline Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Pembina Pipeline Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pembina Pipeline's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pembina Pipeline's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.90 and 57.25, respectively. We have considered Pembina Pipeline's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pembina Pipeline stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pembina Pipeline stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0793 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5485 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0104 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.0055 |
Predictive Modules for Pembina Pipeline
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pembina Pipeline Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pembina Pipeline After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pembina Pipeline at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pembina Pipeline or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pembina Pipeline, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pembina Pipeline Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pembina Pipeline's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pembina Pipeline's historical news coverage. Pembina Pipeline's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.85 and 57.19, respectively. We have considered Pembina Pipeline's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pembina Pipeline is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pembina Pipeline Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pembina Pipeline Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pembina Pipeline is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pembina Pipeline backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pembina Pipeline, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
56.02 | 56.02 | 0.00 |
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Pembina Pipeline Hype Timeline
Pembina Pipeline Corp is at this time traded for 56.02on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Pembina is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pembina Pipeline is about 711.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.04. About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Pembina Pipeline was at this time reported as 25.9. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.35. Pembina Pipeline Corp last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 25th of August 2005. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pembina Pipeline to cross-verify your projections.Pembina Pipeline Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pembina Pipeline's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pembina Pipeline's future price movements. Getting to know how Pembina Pipeline's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pembina Pipeline may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TOU | Tourmaline Oil Corp | 0.87 | 7 per month | 1.50 | 0 | 2.29 | (2.53) | 5.37 | |
| KEY | Keyera Corp | (0.62) | 7 per month | 1.37 | 0.08 | 1.87 | (1.91) | 7.45 | |
| CVE | Cenovus Energy | 0.64 | 1 per month | 1.82 | 0.07 | 3.65 | (2.70) | 8.64 | |
| ENB | Enbridge | (0.64) | 6 per month | 1.06 | (0.01) | 1.06 | (1.44) | 4.32 | |
| ARX | ARC Resources | (0.14) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.54 | (3.06) | 10.15 | |
| OVV | Ovintiv | 1.78 | 11 per month | 1.81 | 0.08 | 3.36 | (2.99) | 8.62 | |
| GEI | Gibson Energy | 0.15 | 7 per month | 1.31 | 0.13 | 2.19 | (1.92) | 5.70 | |
| WCP | Whitecap Resources | (0.34) | 8 per month | 1.45 | 0.12 | 2.71 | (2.03) | 8.71 | |
| TRP | TC Energy Corp | (0.22) | 9 per month | 0.66 | 0.15 | 2.06 | (1.26) | 4.83 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pembina Pipeline
For every potential investor in Pembina, whether a beginner or expert, Pembina Pipeline's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pembina Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pembina. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pembina Pipeline's price trends.Pembina Pipeline Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pembina Pipeline stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pembina Pipeline could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pembina Pipeline by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pembina Pipeline Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pembina Pipeline stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pembina Pipeline shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pembina Pipeline stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pembina Pipeline Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 41176.06 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.74) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 56.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 56.06 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.34) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.56) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 61.8 |
Pembina Pipeline Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pembina Pipeline's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pembina Pipeline's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pembina stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8537 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pembina Pipeline
The number of cover stories for Pembina Pipeline depends on current market conditions and Pembina Pipeline's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pembina Pipeline is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pembina Pipeline's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Pembina Pipeline Short Properties
Pembina Pipeline's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pembina Pipeline's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pembina Pipeline Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pembina Pipeline's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pembina Pipeline's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 574 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 141 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pembina Pipeline to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.