Presurance Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

PRHIZ Stock   18.30  0.03  0.16%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Presurance Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 18.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.44. Presurance Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Presurance Holdings' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Presurance Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Presurance Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Presurance Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Presurance Holdings from the perspective of Presurance Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Presurance Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 18.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.44.

Presurance Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.73  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out fundamental analysis of Presurance Holdings to check your projections.
For more information on how to buy Presurance Stock please use our How to Invest in Presurance Holdings guide.

Presurance Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Presurance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Presurance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Presurance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Presurance Holdings is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Presurance Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Presurance Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 18.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Presurance Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Presurance Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Presurance Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Presurance Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Presurance Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Presurance Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.44 and 22.16, respectively. We have considered Presurance Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.30
18.30
Expected Value
22.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Presurance Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Presurance Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.0025
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0314
MADMean absolute deviation0.5499
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0289
SAESum of the absolute errors32.445
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Presurance Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Presurance Holdings. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Presurance Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Presurance Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8718.7322.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0315.8919.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.1118.7320.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Presurance Holdings

For every potential investor in Presurance, whether a beginner or expert, Presurance Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Presurance Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Presurance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Presurance Holdings' price trends.

Presurance Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Presurance Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Presurance Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Presurance Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Presurance Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Presurance Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Presurance Holdings' current price.

Presurance Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Presurance Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Presurance Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Presurance Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Presurance Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Presurance Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Presurance Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Presurance Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting presurance stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Presurance Stock Analysis

When running Presurance Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Presurance Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Presurance Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Presurance Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Presurance Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Presurance Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Presurance Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.