Park National Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| PRK Stock | USD 161.34 1.36 0.85% |
Park Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Park National's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Park National's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Park National fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Park National's share price is at 53 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Park National, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.243 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.7175 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.1933 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.22 | Wall Street Target Price 180.3333 |
Using Park National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Park National from the perspective of Park National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Park National using Park National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Park using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Park National's stock price.
Park National Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
Park National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Park National stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Park National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Park National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Park National's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Park National on the next trading day is expected to be 161.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.67. Park National after-hype prediction price | USD 161.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Park National to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Park contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Park National will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Park National trading at USD 161.34, that is roughly USD 0.0434 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Park National's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Park National options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Park Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Park National's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Park National's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Park National stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Park National's open interest, investors have to compare it to Park National's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Park National is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Park. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Park National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Park price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Park using various technical indicators. When you analyze Park charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Park National Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Park National on the next trading day is expected to be 161.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.83, mean absolute percentage error of 13.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Park Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Park National's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Park National Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Park National | Park National Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Park National Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Park National's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Park National's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 160.32 and 163.51, respectively. We have considered Park National's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Park National stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Park National stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6937 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.8307 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.018 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 172.6731 |
Predictive Modules for Park National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Park National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Park National After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Park National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Park National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Park National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Park National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Park National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Park National's historical news coverage. Park National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 159.60 and 162.80, respectively. We have considered Park National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Park National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Park National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Park National Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Park National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Park National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Park National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.60 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
161.34 | 161.20 | 0.09 |
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Park National Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Park National is traded for 161.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Park is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 161.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 163.27%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Park National is about 238.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 161.43. About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.95. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Park National recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.84. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. The firm had 105:100 split on the 29th of November 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Park National to cross-verify your projections.Park National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Park National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Park National's future price movements. Getting to know how Park National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Park National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TOWN | Towne Bank | 0.80 | 6 per month | 1.29 | 0.04 | 2.74 | (2.43) | 7.41 | |
| PFS | Provident Financial Services | 0.13 | 9 per month | 1.16 | 0.06 | 2.57 | (1.78) | 6.72 | |
| CVBF | CVB Financial | 0.46 | 7 per month | 1.48 | 0.01 | 3.01 | (2.89) | 6.60 | |
| SFNC | Simmons First National | 0.68 | 6 per month | 1.39 | 0.06 | 3.23 | (2.02) | 13.76 | |
| BOH | Bank of Hawaii | 2.16 | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.15 | 2.58 | (1.71) | 8.71 | |
| BANC | Banc of California | 0.53 | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.13 | 4.35 | (1.97) | 8.37 | |
| SBCF | Seacoast Banking | (0.20) | 7 per month | 1.21 | 0.06 | 3.69 | (2.01) | 8.79 | |
| FFBC | First Financial Bancorp | (0.18) | 9 per month | 0.91 | 0.07 | 3.20 | (1.48) | 7.24 | |
| TRMK | Trustmark | 1.07 | 10 per month | 1.32 | 0.03 | 2.46 | (1.92) | 9.61 | |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | 1.27 | 6 per month | 1.65 | 0.09 | 3.88 | (2.96) | 10.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Park National
For every potential investor in Park, whether a beginner or expert, Park National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Park Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Park. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Park National's price trends.Park National Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Park National stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Park National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Park National by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Park National Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Park National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Park National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Park National stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Park National entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Park National Risk Indicators
The analysis of Park National's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Park National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting park stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Park National
The number of cover stories for Park National depends on current market conditions and Park National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Park National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Park National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Park National Short Properties
Park National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Park National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Park National often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Park National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Park National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Park National to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Park Stock please use our How to buy in Park Stock guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Park National. If investors know Park will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Park National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.243 | Dividend Share 4.27 | Earnings Share 10.84 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 |
The market value of Park National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Park that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Park National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Park National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Park National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Park National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Park National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Park National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Park National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.