Perimeter Solutions Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

PRM Stock  USD 28.22  0.67  2.32%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Perimeter Solutions SA on the next trading day is expected to be 29.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.95. Perimeter Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Perimeter Solutions' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Perimeter Solutions' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Perimeter Solutions fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength momentum indicator of Perimeter Solutions' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Perimeter Solutions' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Perimeter Solutions and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Perimeter Solutions' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Perimeter Solutions SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Perimeter Solutions' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0842
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.3594
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.2553
Wall Street Target Price
33
Using Perimeter Solutions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perimeter Solutions SA from the perspective of Perimeter Solutions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Perimeter Solutions using Perimeter Solutions' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Perimeter using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Perimeter Solutions' stock price.

Perimeter Solutions Short Interest

An investor who is long Perimeter Solutions may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Perimeter Solutions and may potentially protect profits, hedge Perimeter Solutions with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
19.518
Short Percent
0.0278
Short Ratio
3.53
Shares Short Prior Month
2.7 M
50 Day MA
27.6692

Perimeter Solutions Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Perimeter Solutions' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Perimeter. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Perimeter can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Perimeter Solutions SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Perimeter Solutions Implied Volatility

    
  0.85  
Perimeter Solutions' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Perimeter Solutions SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Perimeter Solutions' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Perimeter Solutions stock will not fluctuate a lot when Perimeter Solutions' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Perimeter Solutions SA on the next trading day is expected to be 29.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.95.

Perimeter Solutions after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perimeter Solutions to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Perimeter contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Perimeter Solutions SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0531% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Perimeter Solutions trading at USD 28.22, that is roughly USD 0.015 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Perimeter Solutions' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Perimeter Solutions SA options at the current volatility level of 0.85%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Perimeter Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Perimeter Solutions' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Perimeter Solutions' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Perimeter Solutions stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Perimeter Solutions' open interest, investors have to compare it to Perimeter Solutions' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Perimeter Solutions is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Perimeter. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Perimeter Solutions Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Perimeter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perimeter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perimeter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Perimeter Solutions price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Perimeter Solutions Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Perimeter Solutions SA on the next trading day is expected to be 29.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80, mean absolute percentage error of 1.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Perimeter Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Perimeter Solutions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Perimeter Solutions Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Perimeter SolutionsPerimeter Solutions Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Perimeter Solutions Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Perimeter Solutions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Perimeter Solutions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.24 and 33.08, respectively. We have considered Perimeter Solutions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.22
29.66
Expected Value
33.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Perimeter Solutions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Perimeter Solutions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.2029
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8024
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0304
SAESum of the absolute errors48.9481
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Perimeter Solutions SA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Perimeter Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perimeter Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.7128.1631.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4032.3435.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
27.2428.2629.28
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.0333.0036.63
Details

Perimeter Solutions After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Perimeter Solutions at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perimeter Solutions or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perimeter Solutions, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Perimeter Solutions Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Perimeter Solutions' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perimeter Solutions' historical news coverage. Perimeter Solutions' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.71 and 31.61, respectively. We have considered Perimeter Solutions' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.22
28.16
After-hype Price
31.61
Upside
Perimeter Solutions is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perimeter Solutions is based on 3 months time horizon.

Perimeter Solutions Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perimeter Solutions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perimeter Solutions backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perimeter Solutions, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.52 
3.42
  0.06 
  0.36 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.22
28.16
0.21 
3,109  
Notes

Perimeter Solutions Hype Timeline

On the 25th of January Perimeter Solutions is traded for 28.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.36. Perimeter is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Perimeter Solutions is about 498.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.58. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Perimeter Solutions was at this time reported as 7.51. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Perimeter Solutions had 1:6 split on the 2nd of August 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perimeter Solutions to cross-verify your projections.

Perimeter Solutions Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Perimeter Solutions' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perimeter Solutions' future price movements. Getting to know how Perimeter Solutions' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perimeter Solutions may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CBTCabot(0.63)17 per month 1.87  0.0003  3.72 (2.71) 8.68 
FULH B Fuller 2.06 8 per month 1.53 (0.02) 3.48 (2.38) 8.23 
SXTSensient Technologies(0.32)10 per month 1.76 (0.04) 2.93 (2.57) 9.55 
AVNTAvient Corp(0.09)10 per month 1.37  0.10  3.41 (2.45) 8.87 
HWKNHawkins(1.22)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.29 (4.40) 10.09 
SSLSasol 0.49 2 per month 3.07  0.12  5.96 (4.06) 29.32 
KNFKnife River 2.30 10 per month 2.00  0.06  3.85 (3.18) 16.62 
WDFCWD 40 Company 1.96 14 per month 1.91  0.06  2.86 (2.98) 10.75 
OLNOlin Corporation 1.28 8 per month 3.19  0.01  5.76 (4.57) 18.23 
USLMUnited States Lime 1.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.08 (3.63) 8.80 

Other Forecasting Options for Perimeter Solutions

For every potential investor in Perimeter, whether a beginner or expert, Perimeter Solutions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Perimeter Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Perimeter. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Perimeter Solutions' price trends.

Perimeter Solutions Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Perimeter Solutions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Perimeter Solutions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Perimeter Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Perimeter Solutions Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Perimeter Solutions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Perimeter Solutions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Perimeter Solutions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Perimeter Solutions SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Perimeter Solutions Risk Indicators

The analysis of Perimeter Solutions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Perimeter Solutions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting perimeter stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Perimeter Solutions

The number of cover stories for Perimeter Solutions depends on current market conditions and Perimeter Solutions' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perimeter Solutions is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perimeter Solutions' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Perimeter Solutions Short Properties

Perimeter Solutions' future price predictability will typically decrease when Perimeter Solutions' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perimeter Solutions SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perimeter Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perimeter Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding145.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments198.5 M
When determining whether Perimeter Solutions is a strong investment it is important to analyze Perimeter Solutions' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Perimeter Solutions' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Perimeter Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perimeter Solutions to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perimeter Solutions. If investors know Perimeter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Perimeter Solutions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
Earnings Share
0.54
Revenue Per Share
4.308
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.094
Return On Assets
0.0063
The market value of Perimeter Solutions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Perimeter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Perimeter Solutions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Perimeter Solutions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Perimeter Solutions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Perimeter Solutions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Perimeter Solutions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Perimeter Solutions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Perimeter Solutions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.