ProKidney Corp Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

PROK Stock  USD 1.69  0.05  2.87%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ProKidney Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.48. ProKidney Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although ProKidney Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of ProKidney Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of ProKidney Corp fundamentals over time.
  
Payables Turnover is expected to rise to 0.85 this year. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 92 M this year, although the value of Net Loss is projected to rise to (160.9 M).
A two period moving average forecast for ProKidney Corp is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

ProKidney Corp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ProKidney Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ProKidney Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ProKidney Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ProKidney Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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ProKidney Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ProKidney Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ProKidney Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.78, respectively. We have considered ProKidney Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.69
1.69
Expected Value
7.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ProKidney Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ProKidney Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.2452
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0181
MADMean absolute deviation0.093
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.05
SAESum of the absolute errors5.485
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of ProKidney Corp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of ProKidney Corp. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for ProKidney Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProKidney Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.677.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.255.0611.15
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.9515.3317.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ProKidney Corp

For every potential investor in ProKidney, whether a beginner or expert, ProKidney Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ProKidney Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ProKidney. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ProKidney Corp's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

ProKidney Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ProKidney Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ProKidney Corp's current price.

ProKidney Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ProKidney Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ProKidney Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ProKidney Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ProKidney Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ProKidney Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of ProKidney Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ProKidney Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting prokidney stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether ProKidney Corp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if ProKidney Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Prokidney Corp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Prokidney Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProKidney Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy ProKidney Stock please use our How to buy in ProKidney Stock guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ProKidney Corp. If investors know ProKidney will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ProKidney Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.54)
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(0.31)
The market value of ProKidney Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProKidney that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProKidney Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProKidney Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProKidney Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProKidney Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProKidney Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProKidney Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProKidney Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.