Prosus Pink Sheet Forward View - Polynomial Regression

PROSF Stock  USD 61.21  1.39  2.32%   
Prosus Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Prosus' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Prosus' share price is approaching 42 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Prosus, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Prosus' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Prosus and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Prosus' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Prosus, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Prosus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Prosus from the perspective of Prosus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Prosus on the next trading day is expected to be 62.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 111.90.

Prosus after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 61.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prosus to cross-verify your projections.

Prosus Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Prosus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Prosus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Prosus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Prosus polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Prosus as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Prosus Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Prosus on the next trading day is expected to be 62.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.83, mean absolute percentage error of 6.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 111.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prosus Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prosus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Prosus Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Prosus  Prosus Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Prosus Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Prosus' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Prosus' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.27 and 64.34, respectively. We have considered Prosus' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
61.21
62.31
Expected Value
64.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prosus pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prosus pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9077
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.8343
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0281
SAESum of the absolute errors111.8951
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Prosus historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Prosus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prosus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Prosus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.1661.2163.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.3453.3967.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
59.7361.9664.19
Details

Prosus After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Prosus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Prosus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Prosus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Prosus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Prosus' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Prosus' historical news coverage. Prosus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.16 and 63.26, respectively. We have considered Prosus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
61.21
61.21
After-hype Price
63.26
Upside
Prosus is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Prosus is based on 3 months time horizon.

Prosus Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Prosus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Prosus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Prosus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
2.04
 0.00  
  0.09 
0 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
61.21
61.21
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Prosus Hype Timeline

Prosus is at this time traded for 61.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.09. Prosus is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Prosus is about 431.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.12. About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prosus to cross-verify your projections.

Prosus Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Prosus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Prosus' future price movements. Getting to know how Prosus' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Prosus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TCTZFTencent Holdings(0.24)1 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.99 (3.26) 8.53 
ATHMAutohome 0.21 10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.84 (3.05) 7.71 
ARENArena Group Holdings 0.02 9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 6.08 (6.65) 27.15 
GOGYGolden Grail Technology 0.00 0 per month 11.21  0.13  37.22 (22.22) 435.73 
ASSTStrive Asset Management(0.18)11 per month 0.00 (0.02) 16.22 (10.85) 62.29 
BAIDFBaidu Inc 0.00 0 per month 3.29  0.10  8.84 (7.91) 21.37 
KSHTYKuaishou Technology 0.00 0 per month 4.05  0.07  10.24 (8.49) 25.05 
KUASFKuaishou Technology 0.00 0 per month 1.53  0.07  3.71 (2.11) 17.04 
TMETencent Music Entertainment 0.07 10 per month 0.00 (0.19) 3.54 (4.93) 12.10 
PROSYProsus NV ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.35 (2.25) 7.93 
NAPRFNaspers Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.04 (3.63) 17.99 
IACIAC Inc(0.40)15 per month 1.55  0.07  2.49 (2.35) 6.38 
TCEHYTencent Holdings Ltd(6.77)3 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.57 (2.16) 8.46 
MOMOHello Group 0.49 12 per month 1.61 (0.02) 2.80 (2.36) 9.42 
ZHZhihu Inc ADR(0.25)18 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.10 (4.82) 21.72 
YYYY Old(1.00)6 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.53 (3.91) 16.63 
WBWeibo Corp 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.13 (2.35) 9.22 

Other Forecasting Options for Prosus

For every potential investor in Prosus, whether a beginner or expert, Prosus' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Prosus Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Prosus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Prosus' price trends.

View Prosus Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Prosus Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prosus pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prosus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prosus pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Prosus entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Prosus Risk Indicators

The analysis of Prosus' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Prosus' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting prosus pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Prosus

The number of cover stories for Prosus depends on current market conditions and Prosus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Prosus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Prosus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Information on Investing in Prosus Pink Sheet

Prosus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prosus Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prosus with respect to the benefits of owning Prosus security.