Zhihu Inc Adr Stock Price Prediction

ZH Stock  USD 3.60  0.03  0.84%   
As of 24th of November 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Zhihu's share price is approaching 39. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Zhihu, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

39

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Zhihu's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zhihu Inc ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Zhihu's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.87)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.8236
Wall Street Target Price
35.346
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Using Zhihu hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zhihu Inc ADR from the perspective of Zhihu response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Zhihu to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Zhihu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Zhihu after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Zhihu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.516.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.627.79
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.651.812.01
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.5-0.47-0.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhihu. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhihu's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhihu's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhihu Inc ADR.

Zhihu After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Zhihu at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zhihu or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zhihu, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Zhihu Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Zhihu's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zhihu's historical news coverage. Zhihu's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.18 and 7.85, respectively. We have considered Zhihu's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.60
3.68
After-hype Price
7.85
Upside
Zhihu is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zhihu Inc ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Zhihu Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zhihu is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zhihu backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zhihu, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
4.17
  0.08 
  0.03 
5 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.60
3.68
2.22 
1,069  
Notes

Zhihu Hype Timeline

As of November 24, 2024 Zhihu Inc ADR is listed for 3.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Zhihu is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 2.22%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Zhihu is about 2978.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.63. Zhihu Inc ADR reports 45.73 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from financial leverage. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Zhihu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Zhihu Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Zhihu's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zhihu's future price movements. Getting to know how Zhihu's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zhihu may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ONFOOnfolio Holdings 0.04 3 per month 5.44  0.07  9.71 (11.11) 39.43 
ASSTAsset Entities Class(0.01)8 per month 9.10 (0) 29.76 (11.56) 101.83 
IZEAIZEA Inc 0.03 10 per month 2.34  0.08  4.07 (3.79) 22.12 
MAXMediaAlpha 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.70 (5.09) 35.30 
MOMOHello Group 0.35 8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.99 (4.28) 15.29 
TMETencent Music Entertainment(0.12)11 per month 2.38  0.03  5.81 (4.93) 21.86 
YYYY Inc Class(1.18)7 per month 2.02 (0.06) 3.61 (3.82) 8.81 
WBWeibo Corp(0.03)9 per month 3.16  0.04  7.48 (5.36) 23.98 
TCEHYTencent Holdings Ltd 0.00 0 per month 2.17  0.0008  4.43 (2.88) 17.33 
DOYUDouYu International Holdings 0.25 8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 7.28 (6.42) 53.61 
BIDUBaidu Inc 0.28 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.40 (5.12) 16.49 
YELPYelp Inc 0.79 8 per month 1.35 (0.02) 2.91 (2.34) 8.65 
LTRPALiberty Tri 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.41 (5.00) 18.55 
CMCMCheetah Mobile(0.31)3 per month 4.20  0.04  9.14 (7.53) 26.43 
SCORComscore 2.11 10 per month 3.62  0.02  6.45 (5.73) 48.70 
LTRPBLiberty Tripadvisor Holdings 0.00 0 per month 3.84  0.12  13.41 (7.82) 54.13 

Zhihu Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Zhihu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zhihu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zhihu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Zhihu Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Zhihu stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Zhihu Inc ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Zhihu based on analysis of Zhihu hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Zhihu's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Zhihu's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover1.371.961.791.21
Days Of Inventory On Hand32.512.14.264.04

Story Coverage note for Zhihu

The number of cover stories for Zhihu depends on current market conditions and Zhihu's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zhihu is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zhihu's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Zhihu Short Properties

Zhihu's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zhihu's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zhihu Inc ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zhihu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhihu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.5 B

Complementary Tools for Zhihu Stock analysis

When running Zhihu's price analysis, check to measure Zhihu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zhihu is operating at the current time. Most of Zhihu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zhihu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zhihu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zhihu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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