AFP Provida Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| PROVIDA Stock | CLP 5,612 3.00 0.05% |
AFP Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AFP Provida stock prices and determine the direction of AFP Provida's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of AFP Provida's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today the value of rsi of AFP Provida's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AFP Provida hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AFP Provida from the perspective of AFP Provida response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AFP Provida on the next trading day is expected to be 5,612 with a mean absolute deviation of 90.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,319. AFP Provida after-hype prediction price | CLP 5612.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AFP |
AFP Provida Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AFP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AFP using various technical indicators. When you analyze AFP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AFP Provida Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AFP Provida on the next trading day is expected to be 5,612 with a mean absolute deviation of 90.14, mean absolute percentage error of 17,870, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,319.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AFP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AFP Provida's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AFP Provida Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AFP Provida | AFP Provida Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
AFP Provida Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AFP Provida's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AFP Provida's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5,611 and 5,614, respectively. We have considered AFP Provida's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AFP Provida stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AFP Provida stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.2256 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -26.5187 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 90.1447 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0164 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5318.535 |
Predictive Modules for AFP Provida
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFP Provida. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AFP Provida After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AFP Provida at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AFP Provida or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AFP Provida, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AFP Provida Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AFP Provida's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AFP Provida's historical news coverage. AFP Provida's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5,611 and 5,614, respectively. We have considered AFP Provida's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AFP Provida is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AFP Provida is based on 3 months time horizon.
AFP Provida Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AFP Provida is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AFP Provida backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AFP Provida, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5,612 | 5,612 | 0.00 |
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AFP Provida Hype Timeline
AFP Provida is at this time traded for 5,612on Chilean Stock Exchange of Chile. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AFP is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on AFP Provida is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5,612. About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.35. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. AFP Provida recorded earning per share (EPS) of 374.94. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of September 2022. The firm had 99931:6662 split on the 25th of August 1999. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AFP Provida to cross-verify your projections.AFP Provida Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AFP Provida's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AFP Provida's future price movements. Getting to know how AFP Provida's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AFP Provida may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BESALCO | Besalco Sa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | 0.03 | 2.31 | (2.83) | 7.10 | |
| ANDINA-A | Embotelladora Andina SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.05 | 2.89 | (1.97) | 8.08 | |
| VENTANAS | Puerto Ventana | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.25 | 4.17 | (0.28) | 5.67 | |
| ENAEX | Enaex SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.24 | 2.20 | 0.00 | 5.24 | |
| BLUMAR | Blumar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.32 | 3.56 | (0.09) | 9.13 | |
| MOLLER | Moller Y Perez | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.23 | 3.18 | (1.12) | 12.31 | |
| CEMARGOSCL | Cementos Argos SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.38) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for AFP Provida
For every potential investor in AFP, whether a beginner or expert, AFP Provida's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AFP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AFP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AFP Provida's price trends.AFP Provida Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AFP Provida stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AFP Provida could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AFP Provida by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AFP Provida Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AFP Provida stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AFP Provida shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AFP Provida stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AFP Provida entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0022 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.24) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5606.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5608.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 12.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 4.75 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.00) |
AFP Provida Risk Indicators
The analysis of AFP Provida's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AFP Provida's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting afp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.49 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.82) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AFP Provida
The number of cover stories for AFP Provida depends on current market conditions and AFP Provida's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AFP Provida is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AFP Provida's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in AFP Stock
AFP Provida financial ratios help investors to determine whether AFP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AFP with respect to the benefits of owning AFP Provida security.