ProCredit Holding Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

PRRCF Stock  USD 12.04  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ProCredit Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 12.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. ProCredit Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ProCredit Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
ProCredit Holding simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for ProCredit Holding AG are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as ProCredit Holding prices get older.

ProCredit Holding Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ProCredit Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 12.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ProCredit Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ProCredit Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ProCredit Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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ProCredit Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ProCredit Holding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ProCredit Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.04 and 12.04, respectively. We have considered ProCredit Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.04
12.04
Expected Value
12.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ProCredit Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ProCredit Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting ProCredit Holding AG forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent ProCredit Holding observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for ProCredit Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProCredit Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProCredit Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0412.0412.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0412.0412.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.0412.0412.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ProCredit Holding

For every potential investor in ProCredit, whether a beginner or expert, ProCredit Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ProCredit Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ProCredit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ProCredit Holding's price trends.

ProCredit Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ProCredit Holding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ProCredit Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ProCredit Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ProCredit Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ProCredit Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ProCredit Holding's current price.

ProCredit Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ProCredit Holding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ProCredit Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ProCredit Holding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ProCredit Holding AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in ProCredit Pink Sheet

ProCredit Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether ProCredit Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ProCredit with respect to the benefits of owning ProCredit Holding security.