Priortech Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| PRTC Stock | ILS 24,860 490.00 2.01% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Priortech on the next trading day is expected to be 24,860 with a mean absolute deviation of 564.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33,850. Priortech Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Priortech stock prices and determine the direction of Priortech's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Priortech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Priortech's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Priortech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Priortech from the perspective of Priortech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Priortech on the next trading day is expected to be 24,860 with a mean absolute deviation of 564.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33,850. Priortech after-hype prediction price | ILA 24860.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Priortech |
Priortech Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Priortech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Priortech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Priortech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Priortech Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Priortech on the next trading day is expected to be 24,860 with a mean absolute deviation of 564.17, mean absolute percentage error of 463,151, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33,850.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Priortech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Priortech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Priortech Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Priortech | Priortech Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Priortech Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Priortech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Priortech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24,857 and 24,863, respectively. We have considered Priortech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Priortech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Priortech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 129.3184 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -50.0 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 564.1667 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0248 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33850.0 |
Predictive Modules for Priortech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Priortech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Priortech After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Priortech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Priortech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Priortech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Priortech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Priortech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Priortech's historical news coverage. Priortech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24,857 and 24,863, respectively. We have considered Priortech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Priortech is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Priortech is based on 3 months time horizon.
Priortech Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Priortech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Priortech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Priortech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24,860 | 24,860 | 0.00 |
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Priortech Hype Timeline
Priortech is at this time traded for 24,860on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Priortech is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Priortech is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24,860. About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.06. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Priortech recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Priortech to cross-verify your projections.Priortech Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Priortech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Priortech's future price movements. Getting to know how Priortech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Priortech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GILT | Gilat Satellite Networks | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.07 | 0.17 | 6.42 | (4.31) | 20.63 | |
| MLTM | Malam Team | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.20 | 0.08 | 5.63 | (3.26) | 16.31 | |
| ECP | Electra Co Pr | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.55 | (3.95) | 11.75 | |
| QLTU | Qualitau | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.84 | 0.23 | 4.39 | (3.65) | 11.90 | |
| AFHL | Afcon Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | 0.22 | 4.70 | (2.68) | 10.05 | |
| MGIC | Magic Software Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.91 | 0.13 | 3.90 | (3.17) | 13.40 | |
| ARD | Arad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.78 | (2.38) | 7.37 | |
| PCBT | PCB Tec | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | 0.20 | 5.40 | (3.65) | 13.63 | |
| TLSY | Telsys | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | 0.15 | 3.36 | (2.78) | 9.90 | |
| CMDR | Computer Direct | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.54 | 0.05 | 3.38 | (3.12) | 9.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Priortech
For every potential investor in Priortech, whether a beginner or expert, Priortech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Priortech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Priortech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Priortech's price trends.Priortech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Priortech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Priortech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Priortech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Priortech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Priortech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Priortech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Priortech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Priortech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 547.69 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6125 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24940.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24913.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0461 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 165.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 490.0 |
Priortech Risk Indicators
The analysis of Priortech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Priortech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting priortech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.55 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Variance | 11.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Priortech
The number of cover stories for Priortech depends on current market conditions and Priortech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Priortech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Priortech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Priortech Stock
Priortech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Priortech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Priortech with respect to the benefits of owning Priortech security.