Parsons Corp Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| PSN Stock | USD 69.48 0.04 0.06% |
Parsons Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Parsons Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Parsons Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Parsons Corp fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Parsons Corp's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.908 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.2108 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.3259 | Wall Street Target Price 85.1818 |
Using Parsons Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Parsons Corp from the perspective of Parsons Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Parsons Corp using Parsons Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Parsons using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Parsons Corp's stock price.
Parsons Corp Short Interest
An investor who is long Parsons Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Parsons Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Parsons Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 74.2712 | Short Percent 0.0927 | Short Ratio 3.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.1 M | 50 Day MA 69.146 |
Parsons Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Parsons Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 69.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.91.Parsons Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Parsons Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Parsons. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Parsons can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Parsons Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Parsons Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Parsons Corp.
Parsons Corp Implied Volatility | 0.46 |
Parsons Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Parsons Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Parsons Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Parsons Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Parsons Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Parsons Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 69.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.91. Parsons Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 69.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Parsons Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Parsons contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Parsons Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Parsons Corp trading at USD 69.48, that is roughly USD 0.02 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Parsons Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Parsons Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Parsons Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Parsons Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Parsons Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Parsons Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Parsons Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Parsons Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Parsons Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Parsons. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Parsons Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Parsons price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Parsons using various technical indicators. When you analyze Parsons charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Parsons Corp Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Parsons Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 69.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.33, mean absolute percentage error of 7.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Parsons Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Parsons Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Parsons Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Parsons Corp | Parsons Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Parsons Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Parsons Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Parsons Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.94 and 72.70, respectively. We have considered Parsons Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Parsons Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Parsons Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1228 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3318 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0192 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 79.91 |
Predictive Modules for Parsons Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Parsons Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Parsons Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Parsons Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Parsons Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Parsons Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Parsons Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Parsons Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Parsons Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Parsons Corp's historical news coverage. Parsons Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 65.92 and 72.68, respectively. We have considered Parsons Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Parsons Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Parsons Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Parsons Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Parsons Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Parsons Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Parsons Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 3.38 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
69.48 | 69.30 | 0.26 |
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Parsons Corp Hype Timeline
On the 10th of February Parsons Corp is traded for 69.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.28. Parsons is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 69.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Parsons Corp is about 361.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.20. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Parsons Corp was at this time reported as 24.02. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.92. Parsons Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Parsons Corp to cross-verify your projections.Parsons Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Parsons Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Parsons Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Parsons Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Parsons Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RRX | Regal Beloit | 2.87 | 6 per month | 1.67 | 0.23 | 5.90 | (3.75) | 11.58 | |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies | (1.56) | 11 per month | 1.34 | 0.09 | 2.85 | (1.61) | 9.37 | |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings | (5.04) | 9 per month | 3.01 | 0.07 | 4.89 | (4.80) | 10.93 | |
| FLS | Flowserve | 1.77 | 9 per month | 1.02 | 0.14 | 2.46 | (1.96) | 5.39 | |
| AOS | Smith AO | (0.62) | 9 per month | 0.86 | 0.14 | 2.66 | (2.04) | 7.53 | |
| DCI | Donaldson | 0.69 | 10 per month | 0.73 | 0.19 | 2.43 | (1.74) | 9.29 | |
| TTEK | Tetra Tech | (1.02) | 8 per month | 1.40 | 0.13 | 4.35 | (3.21) | 21.35 | |
| GTLS | Chart Industries | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.23 | (0.11) | 1.32 | |
| SPXC | SPX Corp | (6.63) | 9 per month | 1.81 | (0) | 3.25 | (3.03) | 8.89 | |
| CAE | CAE Inc | 0.18 | 11 per month | 1.55 | 0.09 | 3.17 | (2.58) | 9.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for Parsons Corp
For every potential investor in Parsons, whether a beginner or expert, Parsons Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Parsons Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Parsons. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Parsons Corp's price trends.Parsons Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Parsons Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Parsons Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Parsons Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Parsons Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Parsons Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Parsons Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Parsons Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Parsons Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 9781.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0381 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 69.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 69.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.24) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 |
Parsons Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Parsons Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Parsons Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting parsons stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.32 | |||
| Variance | 11.05 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Parsons Corp
The number of cover stories for Parsons Corp depends on current market conditions and Parsons Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Parsons Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Parsons Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Parsons Corp Short Properties
Parsons Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Parsons Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Parsons Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Parsons Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Parsons Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 111.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 453.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Parsons Corp to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Parsons Stock, please use our How to Invest in Parsons Corp guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Will Aerospace & Defense sector continue expanding? Could Parsons diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Parsons Corp. Anticipated expansion of Parsons directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Parsons Corp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | Earnings Share 2.17 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Parsons Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Parsons Corp's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Parsons Corp's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Parsons Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Parsons Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Parsons Corp's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.