Pure Storage Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PSTG Stock  USD 72.90  0.54  0.75%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pure Storage on the next trading day is expected to be 75.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 162.78. Pure Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pure Storage's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 19th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Pure Storage's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pure Storage's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pure Storage and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pure Storage's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pure Storage, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Pure Storage's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.16)
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.9434
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.2787
Wall Street Target Price
95.1579
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.5842
Using Pure Storage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pure Storage from the perspective of Pure Storage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pure Storage using Pure Storage's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pure using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pure Storage's stock price.

Pure Storage Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Pure Storage's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Pure. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Pure Storage stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
67.0748
Short Percent
0.0333
Short Ratio
1.71
Shares Short Prior Month
9.1 M
50 Day MA
76.1298

Pure Storage Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Pure Storage's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pure. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pure can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pure Storage. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pure Storage's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pure Storage.

Pure Storage Implied Volatility

    
  0.8  
Pure Storage's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pure Storage stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pure Storage's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pure Storage stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pure Storage's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pure Storage on the next trading day is expected to be 75.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 162.78.

Pure Storage after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 72.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pure Storage to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Pure Stock please use our How to Invest in Pure Storage guide.At this time, Pure Storage's Inventory Turnover is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Pure Storage's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 7.78, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 5.58. . The Pure Storage's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 88.2 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to roughly 261.5 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Pure Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Pure Storage's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Pure Storage's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Pure Storage stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Pure Storage's open interest, investors have to compare it to Pure Storage's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Pure Storage is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Pure. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Pure Storage Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pure price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pure using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pure charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Pure Storage Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Pure Storage's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2014-01-31
Previous Quarter
887.8 M
Current Value
852.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
255.4 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Pure Storage is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Pure Storage value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Pure Storage Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pure Storage on the next trading day is expected to be 75.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.67, mean absolute percentage error of 15.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 162.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pure Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pure Storage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pure Storage Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pure StoragePure Storage Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pure Storage Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pure Storage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pure Storage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.20 and 80.58, respectively. We have considered Pure Storage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
72.90
75.89
Expected Value
80.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pure Storage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pure Storage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.8528
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.6686
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0331
SAESum of the absolute errors162.7849
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Pure Storage. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Pure Storage. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Pure Storage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pure Storage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pure Storage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.5772.2676.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.6178.2082.89
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
86.5995.16105.63
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.460.650.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pure Storage

For every potential investor in Pure, whether a beginner or expert, Pure Storage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pure Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pure. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pure Storage's price trends.

Pure Storage Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pure Storage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pure Storage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pure Storage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pure Storage Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pure Storage's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pure Storage's current price.

Pure Storage Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pure Storage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pure Storage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pure Storage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pure Storage entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pure Storage Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pure Storage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pure Storage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pure stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Pure Storage is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pure Storage's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pure Storage's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pure Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pure Storage. If investors know Pure will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pure Storage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.16)
Earnings Share
0.38
Revenue Per Share
10.636
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.16
Return On Assets
0.0108
The market value of Pure Storage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pure that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pure Storage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pure Storage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pure Storage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pure Storage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pure Storage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pure Storage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pure Storage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.