Potomac Bancshares Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

Potomac Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Potomac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Potomac using various technical indicators. When you analyze Potomac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Potomac Bancshares is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Potomac Bancshares value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Potomac Bancshares Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Potomac Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 18.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.67.

Potomac Bancshares Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Potomac Bancshares Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Potomac Bancshares pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Potomac Bancshares pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Potomac Bancshares. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Potomac Bancshares. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Potomac Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Potomac Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 17.12 18.56 20.00 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 17.06 18.50 19.94 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 18.09 18.69 19.29 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Potomac Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Potomac Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Potomac Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Potomac Bancshares.

Potomac Bancshares After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Potomac Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Potomac Bancshares Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Potomac Bancshares Hype Timeline

Potomac Bancshares is at this time traded for 18.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Potomac is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Potomac Bancshares is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.56. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.83. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Potomac Bancshares last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2023. The entity had 102:100 split on the 11th of May 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Potomac Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.

Potomac Bancshares Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Potomac Bancshares

For every potential investor in Potomac, whether a beginner or expert, Potomac Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Potomac Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Potomac. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Potomac Bancshares' price trends.

Potomac Bancshares Related Equities

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Potomac Bancshares Market Strength Events

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Story Coverage note for Potomac Bancshares

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Potomac Bancshares Short Properties

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