Potomac Bancshares Stock Price Prediction

PTBS Stock  USD 15.17  1.33  8.06%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Potomac Bancshares' the pink sheet price is slightly above 67 indicating that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Potomac, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Potomac Bancshares' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Potomac Bancshares and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Potomac Bancshares' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Potomac Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Potomac Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Potomac Bancshares from the perspective of Potomac Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Potomac Bancshares to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Potomac because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Potomac Bancshares after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Potomac Bancshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0314.9216.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.5015.3917.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.3815.6216.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Potomac Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Potomac Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Potomac Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Potomac Bancshares.

Potomac Bancshares After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Potomac Bancshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Potomac Bancshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Potomac Bancshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Potomac Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Potomac Bancshares' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Potomac Bancshares' historical news coverage. Potomac Bancshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.31 and 17.09, respectively. We have considered Potomac Bancshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.17
15.20
After-hype Price
17.09
Upside
Potomac Bancshares is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Potomac Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

Potomac Bancshares Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Potomac Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Potomac Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Potomac Bancshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.89
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.17
15.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Potomac Bancshares Hype Timeline

Potomac Bancshares is at this time traded for 15.17. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Potomac is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Potomac Bancshares is about 2612.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.18. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.83. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Potomac Bancshares last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2023. The entity had 102:100 split on the 11th of May 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Potomac Bancshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Potomac Bancshares Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Potomac Bancshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Potomac Bancshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Potomac Bancshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Potomac Bancshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
APLOApollo Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 0.68 (1.43) 17.91 
FBPAThe Farmers Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.02 (1.73) 6.99 
WVFCWVS Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.29) 0.72 (0.72) 3.89 
PKKWParkway Acquisition Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.40 (2.23) 13.06 
CTYPCommunity Bankers 0.00 0 per month 1.52 (0) 2.25 (1.10) 19.19 
CCFCCCSB Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.29) 0.60 (2.55) 7.12 
BKUTBank of Utica 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  2.65  0.00  5.81 
DWNXDelhi Bank Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.21 (0.49) 0.49 (0.58) 1.47 
RVRFRiver Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 0.03  0.00  6.56 
MPCBMountain Pacific Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  2.33  0.00  11.11 
PPBIPacific Premier Bancorp 0.83 9 per month 1.91  0.06  4.23 (3.33) 19.99 
ONBOld National Bancorp 0.40 8 per month 1.31  0.05  2.96 (2.61) 18.49 
SMALSummit Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 1.10 (0.06) 1.66 (2.20) 5.31 
LBNWLiberty Northwest Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.74 (0.79) 6.62 
PBKCPioneer Bankcorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.02  1.13  0.00  5.76 
FSMK1ST SUMMIT BANCORP 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.85 (1.79) 6.87 
CDABCoeur dAlene Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.03  3.33  0.00  8.33 

Potomac Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Potomac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Potomac using various technical indicators. When you analyze Potomac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Potomac Bancshares Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Potomac Bancshares stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Potomac Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Potomac Bancshares based on analysis of Potomac Bancshares hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Potomac Bancshares's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Potomac Bancshares's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Potomac Bancshares

The number of cover stories for Potomac Bancshares depends on current market conditions and Potomac Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Potomac Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Potomac Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Potomac Bancshares Short Properties

Potomac Bancshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when Potomac Bancshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Potomac Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Potomac Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Potomac Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid1.3 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.36
Shares FloatM

Additional Tools for Potomac Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Potomac Bancshares' price analysis, check to measure Potomac Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Potomac Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of Potomac Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Potomac Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Potomac Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Potomac Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.