Prudential PLC Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| PUK Stock | USD 33.59 0.09 0.27% |
Prudential Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Prudential PLC's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Prudential PLC's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Prudential PLC fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Prudential PLC's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 10.212 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9502 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.3149 | Wall Street Target Price 36.9867 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.204 |
Using Prudential PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Prudential PLC ADR from the perspective of Prudential PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Prudential PLC using Prudential PLC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Prudential using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Prudential PLC's stock price.
Prudential PLC Short Interest
An investor who is long Prudential PLC may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Prudential PLC and may potentially protect profits, hedge Prudential PLC with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 26.7643 | Short Percent 0.0016 | Short Ratio 3.06 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 30.6996 |
Prudential Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Prudential PLC ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 33.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.94.Prudential PLC ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Prudential PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Prudential. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Prudential can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Prudential PLC ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Prudential PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Prudential PLC.
Prudential PLC Implied Volatility | 1.02 |
Prudential PLC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Prudential PLC ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Prudential PLC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Prudential PLC stock will not fluctuate a lot when Prudential PLC's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Prudential PLC ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 33.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.94. Prudential PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 33.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Prudential contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Prudential PLC ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0638% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Prudential PLC trading at USD 33.59, that is roughly USD 0.0214 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Prudential PLC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Prudential PLC ADR options at the current volatility level of 1.02%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Prudential Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Prudential PLC's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Prudential PLC's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Prudential PLC stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Prudential PLC's open interest, investors have to compare it to Prudential PLC's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Prudential PLC is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Prudential. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Prudential PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Prudential price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Prudential using various technical indicators. When you analyze Prudential charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Prudential PLC Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Prudential PLC ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 33.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prudential Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prudential PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Prudential PLC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Prudential PLC | Prudential PLC Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Prudential PLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Prudential PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Prudential PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.40 and 34.78, respectively. We have considered Prudential PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prudential PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prudential PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5372 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1257 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.349 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0114 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.94 |
Predictive Modules for Prudential PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prudential PLC ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Prudential PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Prudential PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Prudential PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Prudential PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Prudential PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Prudential PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Prudential PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Prudential PLC's historical news coverage. Prudential PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.40 and 34.78, respectively. We have considered Prudential PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Prudential PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Prudential PLC ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Prudential PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Prudential PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Prudential PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Prudential PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 1.19 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
33.59 | 33.59 | 0.00 |
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Prudential PLC Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February Prudential PLC ADR is traded for 33.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Prudential is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Prudential PLC is about 563.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.53. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 6.95. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.51. Prudential PLC ADR last dividend was issued on the 5th of September 2025. The entity had 1031:1000 split on the 20th of September 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prudential PLC to cross-verify your projections.Prudential PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Prudential PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Prudential PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Prudential PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Prudential PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRU | Prudential Financial | 0.55 | 10 per month | 1.69 | (0.03) | 2.02 | (3.40) | 7.14 | |
| HIG | Hartford Financial Services | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.69 | 0.13 | 2.03 | (1.34) | 6.38 | |
| BBD | Banco Bradesco SA | (0.01) | 7 per month | 2.19 | 0.11 | 3.76 | (2.41) | 12.49 | |
| APO | Apollo Global Management | (0.09) | 7 per month | 2.00 | 0.04 | 3.61 | (3.64) | 10.80 | |
| SLF | Sun Life Financial | 0.46 | 10 per month | 1.11 | 0.06 | 1.51 | (1.76) | 4.76 | |
| SCHW | Charles Schwab Corp | (0.71) | 6 per month | 1.12 | 0.08 | 2.09 | (2.32) | 5.35 | |
| MET | MetLife | (2.29) | 10 per month | 1.44 | (0.04) | 2.56 | (2.98) | 7.06 | |
| ACGL | Arch Capital Group | (0.16) | 13 per month | 0.73 | 0.15 | 1.92 | (1.25) | 4.71 | |
| STT | State Street Corp | 0.41 | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0.11 | 1.85 | (2.12) | 9.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Prudential PLC
For every potential investor in Prudential, whether a beginner or expert, Prudential PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Prudential Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Prudential. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Prudential PLC's price trends.Prudential PLC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Prudential PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Prudential PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Prudential PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Prudential PLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prudential PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prudential PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prudential PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Prudential PLC ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 30244.41 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1098 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 33.62 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 33.61 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.09 |
Prudential PLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of Prudential PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Prudential PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting prudential stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9696 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8316 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Variance | 1.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6916 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Prudential PLC
The number of cover stories for Prudential PLC depends on current market conditions and Prudential PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Prudential PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Prudential PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Prudential PLC Short Properties
Prudential PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Prudential PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Prudential PLC ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Prudential PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prudential PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prudential PLC to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Prudential PLC. Anticipated expansion of Prudential directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Prudential PLC assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 10.212 | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share 2.57 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.204 |
Prudential PLC ADR's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Prudential's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Prudential PLC's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Prudential PLC's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Prudential PLC's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Prudential PLC should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Prudential PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.