Provident Bancorp Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

PVBCDelisted Stock  USD 13.50  0.35  2.66%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Provident Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 12.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.30. Provident Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Provident Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of Provident Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Provident Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Provident Bancorp's share price is at 54 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Provident Bancorp, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Provident Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Provident Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Provident Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Provident Bancorp from the perspective of Provident Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Provident Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 12.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.30.

Provident Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Provident Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Provident price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Provident using various technical indicators. When you analyze Provident charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Provident Bancorp price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Provident Bancorp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Provident Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 12.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Provident Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Provident Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Provident Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Provident BancorpProvident Bancorp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Provident Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Provident Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0201
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1524
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0119
SAESum of the absolute errors9.2988
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Provident Bancorp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Provident Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Provident Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.6613.5814.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3211.2414.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.3212.8213.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Provident Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Provident Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Provident Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Provident Bancorp.

Provident Bancorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Provident Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Provident Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Provident Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Provident Bancorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Provident Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Provident Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Provident Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Provident Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Provident Bancorp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Provident Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Provident Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting provident stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Other Consideration for investing in Provident Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Provident Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Provident Bancorp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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