Power REIT Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PW Stock | USD 1.02 0.03 3.03% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Power REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.99. Power Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Power REIT's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Wall Street Target Price 44 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.64) |
Using Power REIT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Power REIT from the perspective of Power REIT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Power REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.99. Power REIT after-hype prediction price | USD 0.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Power REIT to cross-verify your projections. Power REIT Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Power price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Power using various technical indicators. When you analyze Power charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Power REIT's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2000-03-31 | Previous Quarter 1.5 M | Current Value 2 M | Quarterly Volatility 5.1 M |
Power REIT Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Power REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Power Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Power REIT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Power REIT Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Power REIT | Power REIT Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Power REIT Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Power REIT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Power REIT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.00, respectively. We have considered Power REIT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Power REIT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Power REIT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.4793 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0491 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0591 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.9932 |
Predictive Modules for Power REIT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Power REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Power REIT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Power REIT After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Power REIT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Power REIT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Power REIT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Power REIT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Power REIT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Power REIT's historical news coverage. Power REIT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 7.90, respectively. We have considered Power REIT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Power REIT is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Power REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.
Power REIT Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Power REIT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Power REIT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Power REIT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 6.86 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.02 | 0.98 | 1.01 |
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Power REIT Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 Power REIT is listed for 1.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Power is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on Power REIT is about 6860.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.08. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.38. Power REIT last dividend was issued on the 10th of January 2013. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Power REIT to cross-verify your projections.Power REIT Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Power REIT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Power REIT's future price movements. Getting to know how Power REIT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Power REIT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WHLR | Wheeler Real Estate | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 12.33 | (20.89) | 125.65 | |
| SGD | Safe and Green | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 12.06 | (14.46) | 80.63 | |
| UOKA | MDJM | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.50 | (7.27) | 36.24 | |
| UK | Ucommune International | 0.24 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 9.41 | (9.09) | 47.85 | |
| CMCT | Creative Media Community | 0.47 | 8 per month | 13.69 | 0.05 | 35.11 | (28.10) | 134.81 | |
| GIPR | Generationome Properties | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 13.33 | (9.52) | 34.83 | |
| GBR | New Concept Energy | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.33 | (5.10) | 16.55 |
Other Forecasting Options for Power REIT
For every potential investor in Power, whether a beginner or expert, Power REIT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Power Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Power. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Power REIT's price trends.Power REIT Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Power REIT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Power REIT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Power REIT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Power REIT Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Power REIT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Power REIT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Power REIT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Power REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1683.29 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4286 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.05 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 |
Power REIT Risk Indicators
The analysis of Power REIT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Power REIT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting power stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.81 | |||
| Variance | 46.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 34.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 29.82 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Power REIT
The number of cover stories for Power REIT depends on current market conditions and Power REIT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Power REIT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Power REIT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Power REIT Short Properties
Power REIT's future price predictability will typically decrease when Power REIT's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Power REIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Power REIT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Power REIT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 M |
Additional Tools for Power Stock Analysis
When running Power REIT's price analysis, check to measure Power REIT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Power REIT is operating at the current time. Most of Power REIT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Power REIT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Power REIT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Power REIT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.