Plexus Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PX4 Stock | EUR 166.00 1.00 0.61% |
Plexus Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Plexus Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Plexus Corp's share price is above 70 as of 23rd of February 2026 indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Plexus, making its price go up or down. Momentum 76
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.127 | Wall Street Target Price 104.8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.096 |
Using Plexus Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Plexus Corp from the perspective of Plexus Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Plexus Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 166.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 171.00. Plexus Corp after-hype prediction price | EUR 169.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Plexus |
Plexus Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Plexus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Plexus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Plexus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Plexus Corp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Plexus Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 166.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.85, mean absolute percentage error of 14.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 171.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Plexus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Plexus Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Plexus Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Plexus Corp | Plexus Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Plexus Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Plexus Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Plexus Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 163.39 and 168.61, respectively. We have considered Plexus Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Plexus Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Plexus Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.9684 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.7833 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.85 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0196 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 171.0 |
Predictive Modules for Plexus Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plexus Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Plexus Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Plexus Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Plexus Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Plexus Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Plexus Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Plexus Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Plexus Corp's historical news coverage. Plexus Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 149.40 and 172.15, respectively. We have considered Plexus Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Plexus Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Plexus Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Plexus Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Plexus Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Plexus Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Plexus Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 2.61 | 3.54 | 0.70 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
166.00 | 169.54 | 2.13 |
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Plexus Corp Hype Timeline
Plexus Corp is at this time traded for 166.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.7. Plexus is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 169.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 43.5%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 2.13%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on Plexus Corp is about 221.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 165.30. Plexus Corp has accumulated 45.79 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 32.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Plexus Corp to cross-verify your projections.Plexus Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Plexus Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Plexus Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Plexus Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Plexus Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QV5 | Canlan Ice Sports | 0.06 | 2 per month | 2.88 | (0) | 6.30 | (6.57) | 15.72 | |
| FR70 | FAST RETAIL ADR | 0.40 | 3 per month | 1.58 | 0.09 | 3.21 | (2.42) | 11.95 | |
| JUU | RETAIL FOOD GROUP | 0.00 | 4 per month | 1.18 | (0.01) | 1.32 | (2.35) | 16.27 | |
| HKU | H2O Retailing | 0.20 | 5 per month | 1.67 | 0.08 | 2.42 | (2.59) | 7.55 | |
| 8DA | InPlay Oil Corp | 0.69 | 3 per month | 2.55 | 0.10 | 7.19 | (4.34) | 13.94 | |
| CTO0 | COSTCO WHOLESALE CDR | 0.39 | 1 per month | 1.22 | 0.04 | 2.44 | (2.40) | 10.00 | |
| CS2 | Caseys General Stores | (9.99) | 10 per month | 1.35 | 0.12 | 3.81 | (2.87) | 11.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for Plexus Corp
For every potential investor in Plexus, whether a beginner or expert, Plexus Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Plexus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Plexus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Plexus Corp's price trends.Plexus Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Plexus Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Plexus Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Plexus Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Plexus Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Plexus Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Plexus Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Plexus Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Plexus Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 166.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 166.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.5 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.0 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 76.25 |
Plexus Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Plexus Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Plexus Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting plexus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Variance | 7.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Plexus Corp
The number of cover stories for Plexus Corp depends on current market conditions and Plexus Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Plexus Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Plexus Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Plexus Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Plexus Stock please use our How to Invest in Plexus Corp guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.