Quilter PLC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| QLT Stock | 195.00 2.80 1.42% |
Quilter Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Quilter PLC stock prices and determine the direction of Quilter PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Quilter PLC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Quilter PLC's share price is at 58 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Quilter PLC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Quilter PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Quilter PLC from the perspective of Quilter PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Quilter PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 195.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 125.50. Quilter PLC after-hype prediction price | GBX 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Quilter |
Quilter PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Quilter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Quilter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Quilter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Quilter PLC Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Quilter PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 195.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.09, mean absolute percentage error of 7.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 125.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Quilter Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Quilter PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Quilter PLC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Quilter PLC | Quilter PLC Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Quilter PLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Quilter PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Quilter PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 193.58 and 196.42, respectively. We have considered Quilter PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Quilter PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Quilter PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.2417 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2933 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0917 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0113 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 125.5 |
Predictive Modules for Quilter PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quilter PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Quilter PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Quilter PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Quilter PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Quilter PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Quilter PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Quilter PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Quilter PLC's historical news coverage. Quilter PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 1.45, respectively. We have considered Quilter PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Quilter PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Quilter PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Quilter PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Quilter PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Quilter PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Quilter PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.42 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
195.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Quilter PLC Hype Timeline
Quilter PLC is at this time traded for 195.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Quilter is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Quilter PLC is about 392.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 194.96. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.92. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Quilter PLC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.46. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of August 2025. The firm had 6:7 split on the 23rd of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Quilter PLC to cross-verify your projections.Quilter PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Quilter PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Quilter PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Quilter PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Quilter PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0JVD | Live Nation Entertainment | (3.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.35 | (2.78) | 10.56 | |
| LBG | LBG Media PLC | (2.38) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.38 | (4.04) | 13.08 | |
| 0RHN | AcadeMedia AB | 1.67 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.33 | (3.52) | 11.82 | |
| CAU | Centaur Media | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.55 | (0.04) | 1.84 | (1.16) | 7.46 | |
| 0HTZ | Cars Inc | (0.07) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.79 | (4.77) | 12.81 | |
| CREO | Creo Medical Group | (0.38) | 3 per month | 1.43 | 0.14 | 4.65 | (3.30) | 10.39 | |
| ZIN | Zinc Media Group | 1.79 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.04 | (2.06) | 10.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Quilter PLC
For every potential investor in Quilter, whether a beginner or expert, Quilter PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Quilter Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Quilter. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Quilter PLC's price trends.Quilter PLC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Quilter PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Quilter PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Quilter PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Quilter PLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Quilter PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Quilter PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Quilter PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Quilter PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 60824.03 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 197.4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 196.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.80) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.80) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.11 |
Quilter PLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of Quilter PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Quilter PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting quilter stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.83 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Quilter PLC
The number of cover stories for Quilter PLC depends on current market conditions and Quilter PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Quilter PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Quilter PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Quilter PLC Short Properties
Quilter PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Quilter PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Quilter PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Quilter PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quilter PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 60.9 B |
Other Information on Investing in Quilter Stock
Quilter PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Quilter Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Quilter with respect to the benefits of owning Quilter PLC security.