QuantumScape Stock Forward View
| QS Stock | USD 8.86 0.18 2.07% |
QuantumScape Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of QuantumScape's share price is approaching 31 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling QuantumScape, making its price go up or down. Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using QuantumScape hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of QuantumScape Class from the perspective of QuantumScape response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of QuantumScape Class on the next trading day is expected to be 7.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.24. QuantumScape after-hype prediction price | USD 8.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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QuantumScape Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine QuantumScape price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for QuantumScape using various technical indicators. When you analyze QuantumScape charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
QuantumScape Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of QuantumScape Class on the next trading day is expected to be 7.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict QuantumScape Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that QuantumScape's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
QuantumScape Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest QuantumScape | QuantumScape Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
QuantumScape Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting QuantumScape's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. QuantumScape's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.24 and 11.50, respectively. We have considered QuantumScape's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of QuantumScape stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent QuantumScape stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7468 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3974 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0331 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.2425 |
Predictive Modules for QuantumScape
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QuantumScape Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of QuantumScape's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
QuantumScape After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of QuantumScape at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in QuantumScape or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of QuantumScape, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
QuantumScape Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting QuantumScape's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on QuantumScape's historical news coverage. QuantumScape's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.23 and 12.49, respectively. We have considered QuantumScape's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
QuantumScape is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of QuantumScape Class is based on 3 months time horizon.
QuantumScape Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as QuantumScape is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading QuantumScape backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with QuantumScape, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.00 | 3.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.86 | 8.86 | 0.00 |
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QuantumScape Hype Timeline
As of February 3, 2026 QuantumScape Class is listed for 8.86. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. QuantumScape is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on QuantumScape is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.86. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of QuantumScape was at this time reported as 2.02. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.73. QuantumScape Class had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of QuantumScape to cross-verify your projections.QuantumScape Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to QuantumScape's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict QuantumScape's future price movements. Getting to know how QuantumScape's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how QuantumScape may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBLY | Mobileye Global Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.57 | (5.65) | 15.74 | |
| ALV | Autoliv | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | (0.01) | 2.85 | (2.57) | 8.44 | |
| BWA | BorgWarner | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.06 | 3.51 | (3.05) | 8.11 | |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.05 | 3.33 | (2.42) | 9.62 | |
| HAS | Hasbro Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | 0.20 | 3.15 | (1.57) | 6.05 | |
| MOD | Modine Manufacturing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.73 | 0.11 | 6.18 | (7.46) | 23.70 | |
| CART | Maplebear | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.91 | (0.02) | 3.91 | (4.32) | 11.01 | |
| ZK | ZEEKR Intelligent Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.20 | (1.07) | 2.64 | |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | (0.02) | 2.62 | (2.10) | 6.07 | |
| DDS | Dillards | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.76 | 0.04 | 5.05 | (4.39) | 17.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for QuantumScape
For every potential investor in QuantumScape, whether a beginner or expert, QuantumScape's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. QuantumScape Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in QuantumScape. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying QuantumScape's price trends.QuantumScape Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with QuantumScape stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of QuantumScape could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing QuantumScape by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
QuantumScape Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how QuantumScape stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading QuantumScape shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying QuantumScape stock market strength indicators, traders can identify QuantumScape Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
QuantumScape Risk Indicators
The analysis of QuantumScape's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in QuantumScape's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting quantumscape stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.63 | |||
| Variance | 13.17 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for QuantumScape
The number of cover stories for QuantumScape depends on current market conditions and QuantumScape's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that QuantumScape is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about QuantumScape's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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QuantumScape Short Properties
QuantumScape's future price predictability will typically decrease when QuantumScape's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of QuantumScape Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential QuantumScape's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. QuantumScape's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 508.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 910.8 M |
Additional Tools for QuantumScape Stock Analysis
When running QuantumScape's price analysis, check to measure QuantumScape's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy QuantumScape is operating at the current time. Most of QuantumScape's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of QuantumScape's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move QuantumScape's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of QuantumScape to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.