Uniqure NV Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| QURE Stock | USD 25.27 0.19 0.76% |
Uniqure Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Uniqure NV stock prices and determine the direction of Uniqure NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Uniqure NV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the RSI of Uniqure NV's share price is approaching 36 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Uniqure NV, making its price go up or down. Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.66) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.34) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.64) | Wall Street Target Price 55.886 |
Using Uniqure NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Uniqure NV from the perspective of Uniqure NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Uniqure NV using Uniqure NV's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Uniqure using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Uniqure NV's stock price.
Uniqure NV Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Uniqure NV's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Uniqure. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Uniqure NV stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 23.805 | Short Percent 0.1948 | Short Ratio 4.15 | Shares Short Prior Month 9 M | 50 Day MA 24.547 |
Uniqure Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Uniqure NV on the next trading day is expected to be 19.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 212.35.Uniqure NV Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Uniqure NV's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Uniqure. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Uniqure can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Uniqure NV. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Uniqure NV's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Uniqure NV.
Uniqure NV Implied Volatility | 1.88 |
Uniqure NV's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Uniqure NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Uniqure NV's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Uniqure NV stock will not fluctuate a lot when Uniqure NV's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Uniqure NV on the next trading day is expected to be 19.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 212.35. Uniqure NV after-hype prediction price | USD 25.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Uniqure NV to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Uniqure contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Uniqure NV will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.12% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Uniqure NV trading at USD 25.27, that is roughly USD 0.0297 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Uniqure NV's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Uniqure NV options at the current volatility level of 1.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Uniqure Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Uniqure NV's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Uniqure NV's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Uniqure NV stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Uniqure NV's open interest, investors have to compare it to Uniqure NV's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Uniqure NV is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Uniqure. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Uniqure NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Uniqure price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Uniqure using various technical indicators. When you analyze Uniqure charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Uniqure NV Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Uniqure NV's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2011-12-31 | Previous Quarter 253.8 M | Current Value 597.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 165 M |
Uniqure NV Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Uniqure NV on the next trading day is expected to be 19.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.42, mean absolute percentage error of 20.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 212.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Uniqure Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Uniqure NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Uniqure NV Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Uniqure NV | Uniqure NV Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Uniqure NV Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Uniqure NV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Uniqure NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.60 and 27.96, respectively. We have considered Uniqure NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Uniqure NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Uniqure NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.9691 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.425 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 212.3482 |
Predictive Modules for Uniqure NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Uniqure NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Uniqure NV After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Uniqure NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Uniqure NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Uniqure NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Uniqure NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Uniqure NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Uniqure NV's historical news coverage. Uniqure NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.15 and 33.39, respectively. We have considered Uniqure NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Uniqure NV is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Uniqure NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
Uniqure NV Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Uniqure NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Uniqure NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Uniqure NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.27 | 8.18 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.27 | 25.27 | 0.00 |
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Uniqure NV Hype Timeline
Uniqure NV is at this time traded for 25.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.6, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.67. Uniqure is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Uniqure NV is about 1552.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.60. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.4. Uniqure NV had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 31st of January 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Uniqure NV to cross-verify your projections.Uniqure NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Uniqure NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Uniqure NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Uniqure NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Uniqure NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VRDN | Viridian Therapeutics | 0.33 | 9 per month | 1.88 | 0.15 | 5.57 | (2.22) | 15.86 | |
| GPCR | Structure Therapeutics American | (5.38) | 10 per month | 2.78 | 0.18 | 8.96 | (5.94) | 110.34 | |
| EWTX | Edgewise Therapeutics | 0.27 | 11 per month | 4.14 | 0.16 | 14.33 | (5.57) | 38.85 | |
| OCUL | Ocular Therapeutix | (2.05) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.04 | (4.80) | 35.70 | |
| GLPG | Galapagos NV ADR | 0.82 | 3 per month | 1.24 | 0.05 | 2.62 | (2.52) | 7.08 | |
| VERA | Vera Therapeutics | 0.96 | 8 per month | 3.13 | 0.15 | 10.77 | (5.81) | 23.44 | |
| NUVB | Nuvation Bio | 0.42 | 12 per month | 4.51 | 0.07 | 7.33 | (5.78) | 68.61 | |
| CLDX | Celldex Therapeutics | (0.81) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.44 | (5.22) | 13.96 | |
| MESO | Mesoblast | 0.11 | 22 per month | 3.22 | (0.0003) | 5.49 | (4.87) | 19.08 | |
| ABCL | Abcellera Biologics | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.90 | (8.62) | 22.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Uniqure NV
For every potential investor in Uniqure, whether a beginner or expert, Uniqure NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Uniqure Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Uniqure. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Uniqure NV's price trends.Uniqure NV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Uniqure NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Uniqure NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Uniqure NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Uniqure NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Uniqure NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Uniqure NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Uniqure NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Uniqure NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Uniqure NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Uniqure NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Uniqure NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting uniqure stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.0 | |||
| Variance | 63.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Uniqure NV
The number of cover stories for Uniqure NV depends on current market conditions and Uniqure NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Uniqure NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Uniqure NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Uniqure NV Short Properties
Uniqure NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when Uniqure NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Uniqure NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Uniqure NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Uniqure NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 367.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Uniqure NV to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Uniqure Stock refer to our How to Trade Uniqure Stock guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Uniqure NV. If investors know Uniqure will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Uniqure NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Earnings Share (4.40) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.618 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Uniqure NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Uniqure that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Uniqure NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Uniqure NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Uniqure NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Uniqure NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Uniqure NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Uniqure NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Uniqure NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.