QVC Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| QVCGA Stock | 10.89 0.67 6.56% |
QVC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast QVC stock prices and determine the direction of QVC Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of QVC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The value of RSI of QVC's share price is at 51 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling QVC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using QVC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of QVC Group from the perspective of QVC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards QVC using QVC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards QVC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of QVC's stock price.
QVC Implied Volatility | 1.59 |
QVC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of QVC Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if QVC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that QVC stock will not fluctuate a lot when QVC's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of QVC Group on the next trading day is expected to be 8.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.30. QVC after-hype prediction price | USD 10.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of QVC to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current QVC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that QVC Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0994% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With QVC trading at USD 10.89, that is roughly USD 0.0108 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating QVC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring QVC Group options at the current volatility level of 1.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 QVC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast QVC's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in QVC's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for QVC stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current QVC's open interest, investors have to compare it to QVC's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of QVC is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in QVC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
QVC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine QVC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for QVC using various technical indicators. When you analyze QVC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
QVC Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of QVC Group on the next trading day is expected to be 8.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12, mean absolute percentage error of 1.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict QVC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that QVC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
QVC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest QVC | QVC Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
QVC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting QVC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. QVC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.11 and 18.02, respectively. We have considered QVC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of QVC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent QVC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7216 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1196 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1232 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 68.2965 |
Predictive Modules for QVC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QVC Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.QVC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of QVC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in QVC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of QVC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
QVC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting QVC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on QVC's historical news coverage. QVC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.00 and 19.52, respectively. We have considered QVC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
QVC is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of QVC Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
QVC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as QVC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading QVC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with QVC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 9.26 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.89 | 10.26 | 0.39 |
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QVC Hype Timeline
QVC Group is at this time traded for 10.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. QVC is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on QVC is about 21045.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.88. The company reported the revenue of 10.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.25 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.26 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of QVC to cross-verify your projections.QVC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to QVC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict QVC's future price movements. Getting to know how QVC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how QVC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GRWG | GrowGeneration Corp | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.33 | (5.82) | 52.12 | |
| SPWH | Sportsmans | 0.20 | 35 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.96 | (6.07) | 37.14 | |
| THCH | TH International Limited | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.81 | (6.51) | 18.19 | |
| LIDR | Aeye Inc | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.03 | (7.08) | 22.17 | |
| FLL | Full House Resorts | 0.18 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.86 | (4.87) | 16.22 | |
| PRPL | Purple Innovation | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.25 | (5.48) | 27.01 | |
| AOUT | American Outdoor Brands | (0.16) | 12 per month | 2.54 | 0.06 | 4.56 | (3.65) | 16.09 | |
| IRBT | IRobot | (0.19) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 21.78 | (33.87) | 146.53 | |
| RRGB | Red Robin Gourmet | (0.33) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 4.75 | (5.15) | 11.57 | |
| YTRA | Yatra Online | 0.05 | 9 per month | 3.56 | 0.02 | 5.84 | (5.62) | 19.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for QVC
For every potential investor in QVC, whether a beginner or expert, QVC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. QVC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in QVC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying QVC's price trends.QVC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with QVC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of QVC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing QVC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
QVC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how QVC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading QVC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying QVC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify QVC Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
QVC Risk Indicators
The analysis of QVC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in QVC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting qvc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.22 | |||
| Variance | 84.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 92.71 | |||
| Semi Variance | 89.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for QVC
The number of cover stories for QVC depends on current market conditions and QVC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that QVC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about QVC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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QVC Short Properties
QVC's future price predictability will typically decrease when QVC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of QVC Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential QVC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. QVC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 905 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of QVC to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Internet & Direct Marketing Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of QVC. Anticipated expansion of QVC directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive QVC assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate QVC Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating QVC's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause QVC's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between QVC's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding QVC should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, QVC's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.