Rain Enhancement Stock Forward View

RAIN Stock  USD 2.19  0.06  2.67%   
Rain Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Rain Enhancement's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Rain Enhancement's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Rain Enhancement fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Rain Enhancement's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rain Enhancement's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rain Enhancement Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Rain Enhancement hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rain Enhancement Technologies from the perspective of Rain Enhancement response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rain Enhancement Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 2.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.11.

Rain Enhancement after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.18  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rain Enhancement to cross-verify your projections.

Rain Enhancement Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rain price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rain using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rain charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Rain Enhancement Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Rain Enhancement's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
29.3 K
Current Value
27.9 K
Quarterly Volatility
13.7 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Rain Enhancement is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Rain Enhancement Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Rain Enhancement Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rain Enhancement Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 2.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rain Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rain Enhancement's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rain Enhancement Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Rain Enhancement  Rain Enhancement Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Rain Enhancement Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rain Enhancement's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rain Enhancement's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 10.40, respectively. We have considered Rain Enhancement's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.19
2.47
Expected Value
10.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rain Enhancement stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rain Enhancement stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2847
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4772
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0958
SAESum of the absolute errors29.1067
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Rain Enhancement Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Rain Enhancement. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Rain Enhancement

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rain Enhancement Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.1810.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.1010.10
Details

Rain Enhancement After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rain Enhancement at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rain Enhancement or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rain Enhancement, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rain Enhancement Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rain Enhancement's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rain Enhancement's historical news coverage. Rain Enhancement's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 10.18, respectively. We have considered Rain Enhancement's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.19
2.18
After-hype Price
10.18
Upside
Rain Enhancement is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rain Enhancement Tec is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rain Enhancement Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rain Enhancement is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rain Enhancement backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rain Enhancement, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.97 
7.93
  0.01 
  0.03 
11 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.19
2.18
0.46 
79,300  
Notes

Rain Enhancement Hype Timeline

Rain Enhancement Tec is at this time traded for 2.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Rain is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.46%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.97%. The volatility of related hype on Rain Enhancement is about 23129.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.22. About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.79. Rain Enhancement Tec had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rain Enhancement to cross-verify your projections.

Rain Enhancement Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rain Enhancement's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rain Enhancement's future price movements. Getting to know how Rain Enhancement's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rain Enhancement may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Rain Enhancement

For every potential investor in Rain, whether a beginner or expert, Rain Enhancement's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rain Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rain. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rain Enhancement's price trends.

Rain Enhancement Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rain Enhancement stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rain Enhancement could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rain Enhancement by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rain Enhancement Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rain Enhancement stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rain Enhancement shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rain Enhancement stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rain Enhancement Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rain Enhancement Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rain Enhancement's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rain Enhancement's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rain stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Rain Enhancement

The number of cover stories for Rain Enhancement depends on current market conditions and Rain Enhancement's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rain Enhancement is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rain Enhancement's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Rain Enhancement Short Properties

Rain Enhancement's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rain Enhancement's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rain Enhancement Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rain Enhancement's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rain Enhancement's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments32.6 K
When determining whether Rain Enhancement Tec is a strong investment it is important to analyze Rain Enhancement's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Rain Enhancement's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Rain Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rain Enhancement to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Will Electrical Components & Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Rain diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rain Enhancement. Anticipated expansion of Rain directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Rain Enhancement data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(0.79)
Rain Enhancement Tec's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Rain's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Rain Enhancement's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Rain Enhancement's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Rain Enhancement's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rain Enhancement should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Rain Enhancement's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.