Rain Enhancement Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RAIN Stock | USD 3.05 0.09 2.87% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rain Enhancement Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 3.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.72. Rain Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Rain Enhancement's share price is approaching 35 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rain Enhancement, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Rain Enhancement hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rain Enhancement Technologies from the perspective of Rain Enhancement response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rain Enhancement Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 3.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.72. Rain Enhancement after-hype prediction price | USD 3.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rain Enhancement to cross-verify your projections. Rain Enhancement Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rain price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rain using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rain charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rain Enhancement Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rain Enhancement Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 3.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rain Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rain Enhancement's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rain Enhancement Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rain Enhancement | Rain Enhancement Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Rain Enhancement Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rain Enhancement's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rain Enhancement's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 10.95, respectively. We have considered Rain Enhancement's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rain Enhancement stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rain Enhancement stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8816 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0477 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.312 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0571 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.72 |
Predictive Modules for Rain Enhancement
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rain Enhancement Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rain Enhancement After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rain Enhancement at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rain Enhancement or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rain Enhancement, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rain Enhancement Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rain Enhancement's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rain Enhancement's historical news coverage. Rain Enhancement's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 10.95, respectively. We have considered Rain Enhancement's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rain Enhancement is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rain Enhancement Tec is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rain Enhancement Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rain Enhancement is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rain Enhancement backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rain Enhancement, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.75 | 7.90 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 12 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.05 | 3.05 | 0.00 |
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Rain Enhancement Hype Timeline
Rain Enhancement Tec is at this time traded for 3.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Rain is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.75%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rain Enhancement is about 4299.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.19. About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.79. Rain Enhancement Tec had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rain Enhancement to cross-verify your projections.Rain Enhancement Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rain Enhancement's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rain Enhancement's future price movements. Getting to know how Rain Enhancement's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rain Enhancement may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WAVE | Eco Wave Power | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 6.06 | (5.98) | 16.43 | |
| ADN | Advent Technologies Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 9.09 | (22.00) | 66.05 | |
| HTOO | Fusion Fuel Green | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.72 | (8.83) | 21.24 | |
| CREG | Smart Powerr Corp | 0.13 | 4 per month | 4.16 | (0) | 7.41 | (6.99) | 25.57 | |
| BNRG | Brenmiller Energy Ltd | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 6.86 | (15.79) | 39.62 | |
| SUUN | SolarBank Common | 1.26 | 15 per month | 4.79 | 0.03 | 9.70 | (7.69) | 29.52 | |
| VGAS | Verde Clean Fuels | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.11 | (8.24) | 17.48 | |
| OPAL | OPAL Fuels | (0.18) | 7 per month | 5.05 | 0.02 | 10.89 | (10.04) | 23.34 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rain Enhancement
For every potential investor in Rain, whether a beginner or expert, Rain Enhancement's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rain Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rain. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rain Enhancement's price trends.Rain Enhancement Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rain Enhancement stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rain Enhancement could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rain Enhancement by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rain Enhancement Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rain Enhancement stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rain Enhancement shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rain Enhancement stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rain Enhancement Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Rain Enhancement Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rain Enhancement's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rain Enhancement's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rain stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.9 | |||
| Variance | 62.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rain Enhancement
The number of cover stories for Rain Enhancement depends on current market conditions and Rain Enhancement's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rain Enhancement is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rain Enhancement's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rain Enhancement Short Properties
Rain Enhancement's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rain Enhancement's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rain Enhancement Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rain Enhancement's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rain Enhancement's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.6 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rain Enhancement to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rain Enhancement. If investors know Rain will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rain Enhancement listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Rain Enhancement Tec is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rain that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rain Enhancement's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rain Enhancement's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rain Enhancement's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rain Enhancement's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rain Enhancement's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rain Enhancement is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rain Enhancement's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.