RB Global Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

RBA Stock  USD 103.29  0.42  0.41%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RB Global on the next trading day is expected to be 103.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.04. RBA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast RB Global stock prices and determine the direction of RB Global's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RB Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of RB Global's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of RB Global's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with RB Global, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting RB Global's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.194
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.0339
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.9007
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.3643
Wall Street Target Price
123.8
Using RB Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RB Global from the perspective of RB Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards RB Global using RB Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards RBA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of RB Global's stock price.

RB Global Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in RB Global's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards RBA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of RB Global stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
105.1608
Short Percent
0.0605
Short Ratio
9.17
Shares Short Prior Month
8.6 M
50 Day MA
100.784

RB Global Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to RB Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in RBA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding RBA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around RB Global. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of RB Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about RB Global.

RB Global Implied Volatility

    
  0.39  
RB Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of RB Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if RB Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that RB Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when RB Global's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RB Global on the next trading day is expected to be 103.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.04.

RB Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 103.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RB Global to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade RBA Stock refer to our How to Trade RBA Stock guide.At present, RB Global's Inventory Turnover is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 4.16, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 7.88. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 450 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 120.7 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 RBA Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast RB Global's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in RB Global's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for RB Global stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current RB Global's open interest, investors have to compare it to RB Global's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of RB Global is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in RBA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

RB Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine RBA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RBA using various technical indicators. When you analyze RBA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
RB Global simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for RB Global are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as RB Global prices get older.

RB Global Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RB Global on the next trading day is expected to be 103.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05, mean absolute percentage error of 2.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RBA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RB Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RB Global Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest RB GlobalRB Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

RB Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RB Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RB Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 101.83 and 104.75, respectively. We have considered RB Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
103.29
101.83
Downside
103.29
Expected Value
104.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RB Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RB Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0607
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0343
MADMean absolute deviation1.0507
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0104
SAESum of the absolute errors63.04
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting RB Global forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent RB Global observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for RB Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RB Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.84103.30104.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.96112.88114.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
94.62101.47108.33
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
112.66123.80137.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as RB Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against RB Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, RB Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in RB Global.

Other Forecasting Options for RB Global

For every potential investor in RBA, whether a beginner or expert, RB Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RBA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RBA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RB Global's price trends.

RB Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RB Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RB Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RB Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RB Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RB Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RB Global's current price.

RB Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RB Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RB Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RB Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RB Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RB Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of RB Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RB Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rba stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether RB Global offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of RB Global's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rb Global Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rb Global Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RB Global to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade RBA Stock refer to our How to Trade RBA Stock guide.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RB Global. If investors know RBA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RB Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.194
Dividend Share
1.2
Earnings Share
2.1
Revenue Per Share
24.47
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.113
The market value of RB Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RBA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RB Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RB Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RB Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RB Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RB Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RB Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RB Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.