Roblox Corp Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

RBLX Stock  USD 49.38  0.03  0.06%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Roblox Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 50.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.16. Roblox Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Roblox Corp's Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to rise to 6.11 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 0.85 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 627.2 M in 2024, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (790.3 M).
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Roblox Corp is based on an artificially constructed time series of Roblox Corp daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Roblox Corp 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Roblox Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 50.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.06, mean absolute percentage error of 8.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roblox Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roblox Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Roblox Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Roblox CorpRoblox Corp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Roblox Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Roblox Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Roblox Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.65 and 53.94, respectively. We have considered Roblox Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
49.38
50.80
Expected Value
53.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roblox Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roblox Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.4885
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.5237
MADMean absolute deviation2.0596
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0432
SAESum of the absolute errors109.1563
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Roblox Corp 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Roblox Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roblox Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.2749.3952.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.5342.6554.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
49.3449.3749.40
Details
32 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
33.6837.0141.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Roblox Corp

For every potential investor in Roblox, whether a beginner or expert, Roblox Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Roblox Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Roblox. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Roblox Corp's price trends.

Roblox Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roblox Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roblox Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roblox Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Roblox Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Roblox Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Roblox Corp's current price.

Roblox Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roblox Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roblox Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roblox Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Roblox Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Roblox Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Roblox Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roblox Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roblox stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Roblox Stock Analysis

When running Roblox Corp's price analysis, check to measure Roblox Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Roblox Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Roblox Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Roblox Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Roblox Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Roblox Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.