RiverBank Holding Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| RBNK Stock | USD 26.00 0.00 0.00% |
RiverBank Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of RiverBank Holding's share price is above 70 as of now indicating that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling RiverBank, making its price go up or down. Momentum 74
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using RiverBank Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RiverBank Holding from the perspective of RiverBank Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of RiverBank Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 26.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.70. RiverBank Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 26.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
RiverBank |
RiverBank Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RiverBank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RiverBank using various technical indicators. When you analyze RiverBank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
RiverBank Holding Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of RiverBank Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 26.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RiverBank Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RiverBank Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
RiverBank Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RiverBank Holding | RiverBank Holding Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
RiverBank Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting RiverBank Holding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RiverBank Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.54 and 28.34, respectively. We have considered RiverBank Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RiverBank Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RiverBank Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1489 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5034 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0201 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.7044 |
Predictive Modules for RiverBank Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RiverBank Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RiverBank Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RiverBank Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RiverBank Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of RiverBank Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RiverBank Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RiverBank Holding's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RiverBank Holding's historical news coverage. RiverBank Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.60 and 27.40, respectively. We have considered RiverBank Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RiverBank Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RiverBank Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
RiverBank Holding Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RiverBank Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RiverBank Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RiverBank Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 1.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.00 | 26.00 | 0.00 |
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RiverBank Holding Hype Timeline
RiverBank Holding is at this time traded for 26.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. RiverBank is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on RiverBank Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RiverBank Holding to cross-verify your projections.RiverBank Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RiverBank Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RiverBank Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how RiverBank Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RiverBank Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HVLM | Huron Valley Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.01 | |
| QNTO | Quaint Oak Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | 0.23 | 2.89 | (1.83) | 12.70 | |
| ELMA | Elmer Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.53 | 0.00 | 1.33 | |
| CNBZ | CNB Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.58 | |
| EFSG | Enterprise Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 24.02 | |
| SSBP | SSB Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | 0.05 | 3.39 | (0.99) | 13.73 | |
| BKUTK | Bank Utica Ny | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | (0.04) | 1.97 | (2.83) | 8.53 | |
| IBWC | IBW Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.50) | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.49 | |
| AMFC | AMB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1.31 | 0.00 | 3.29 | |
| FSBH | First Southern Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.27 | (0.90) | 55.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for RiverBank Holding
For every potential investor in RiverBank, whether a beginner or expert, RiverBank Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RiverBank Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RiverBank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RiverBank Holding's price trends.RiverBank Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RiverBank Holding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RiverBank Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RiverBank Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RiverBank Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RiverBank Holding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RiverBank Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RiverBank Holding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify RiverBank Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
RiverBank Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of RiverBank Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RiverBank Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting riverbank pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7745 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Variance | 1.97 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RiverBank Holding
The number of cover stories for RiverBank Holding depends on current market conditions and RiverBank Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RiverBank Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RiverBank Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in RiverBank Pink Sheet
RiverBank Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether RiverBank Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RiverBank with respect to the benefits of owning RiverBank Holding security.