R1 RCM Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

RCMDelisted Stock  USD 14.31  0.01  0.07%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of R1 RCM Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 14.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.95. RCM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for R1 RCM Inc is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

R1 RCM 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of R1 RCM Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 14.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RCM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that R1 RCM's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

R1 RCM Stock Forecast Pattern

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R1 RCM Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting R1 RCM's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. R1 RCM's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.18 and 14.43, respectively. We have considered R1 RCM's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.31
14.30
Expected Value
14.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of R1 RCM stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent R1 RCM stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.0573
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0106
MADMean absolute deviation0.0166
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0012
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9475
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of R1 RCM. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for R1 RCM Inc and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for R1 RCM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as R1 RCM Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of R1 RCM's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1814.3114.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9812.1115.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.3014.3114.32
Details

Other Forecasting Options for R1 RCM

For every potential investor in RCM, whether a beginner or expert, R1 RCM's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RCM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RCM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying R1 RCM's price trends.

View R1 RCM Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

R1 RCM Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of R1 RCM's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of R1 RCM's current price.

R1 RCM Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how R1 RCM stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading R1 RCM shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying R1 RCM stock market strength indicators, traders can identify R1 RCM Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

R1 RCM Risk Indicators

The analysis of R1 RCM's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in R1 RCM's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rcm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of R1 RCM to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

Other Consideration for investing in RCM Stock

If you are still planning to invest in R1 RCM Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the R1 RCM's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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