RCM Technologies Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| RCMT Stock | USD 20.23 0.74 3.53% |
RCM Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of RCM Technologies' share price is approaching 45 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling RCM Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.645 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.315 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.565 | Wall Street Target Price 31 |
Using RCM Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RCM Technologies from the perspective of RCM Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of RCM Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 20.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.73. RCM Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 20.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RCM Technologies to cross-verify your projections. RCM Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RCM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RCM using various technical indicators. When you analyze RCM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
RCM Technologies Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of RCM Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 20.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RCM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RCM Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
RCM Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RCM Technologies | RCM Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
RCM Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting RCM Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RCM Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.08 and 23.12, respectively. We have considered RCM Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RCM Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RCM Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.2742 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0534 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3853 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0192 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.73 |
Predictive Modules for RCM Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RCM Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RCM Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RCM Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RCM Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RCM Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RCM Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RCM Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RCM Technologies' historical news coverage. RCM Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.71 and 22.75, respectively. We have considered RCM Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RCM Technologies is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RCM Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
RCM Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RCM Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RCM Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RCM Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.52 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.23 | 20.23 | 0.00 |
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RCM Technologies Hype Timeline
RCM Technologies is at this time traded for 20.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. RCM is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on RCM Technologies is about 3652.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.24. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of RCM Technologies was at this time reported as 5.58. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.36. RCM Technologies last dividend was issued on the 21st of December 2017. The entity had 1:5 split on the 8th of April 1996. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RCM Technologies to cross-verify your projections.RCM Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RCM Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RCM Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how RCM Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RCM Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHIP | Seanergy Maritime Holdings | 0.04 | 11 per month | 1.40 | 0.16 | 4.47 | (2.71) | 8.64 | |
| ISSC | Innovative Solutions and | 0.03 | 8 per month | 2.72 | 0.22 | 9.75 | (4.29) | 38.98 | |
| FCEL | FuelCell Energy | 0.32 | 11 per month | 5.97 | 0.01 | 12.26 | (10.26) | 35.51 | |
| IRS | IRSA Inversiones Y | 0.26 | 7 per month | 2.04 | 0.11 | 4.05 | (3.17) | 11.72 | |
| GENC | Gencor Industries | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.85 | 0.02 | 4.78 | (3.80) | 10.79 | |
| ZJK | ZJK Industrial Co | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.36 | (10.58) | 58.59 | |
| RAIL | Freightcar America | (0.33) | 12 per month | 2.69 | 0.13 | 6.18 | (4.48) | 24.50 | |
| DSX | Diana Shipping | (0.02) | 11 per month | 1.99 | 0.14 | 6.51 | (3.41) | 13.41 | |
| BLNK | Blink Charging Co | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 10.45 | (8.33) | 30.46 | |
| VWAV | VisionWave Holdings Common | 0.56 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 13.43 | (10.78) | 35.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for RCM Technologies
For every potential investor in RCM, whether a beginner or expert, RCM Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RCM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RCM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RCM Technologies' price trends.RCM Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RCM Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RCM Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RCM Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RCM Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RCM Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RCM Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RCM Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RCM Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2031.1 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.67) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.37 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.57) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.74) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.81 |
RCM Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of RCM Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RCM Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rcm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Variance | 6.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RCM Technologies
The number of cover stories for RCM Technologies depends on current market conditions and RCM Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RCM Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RCM Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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RCM Technologies Short Properties
RCM Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when RCM Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RCM Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RCM Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RCM Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.7 M |
Additional Tools for RCM Stock Analysis
When running RCM Technologies' price analysis, check to measure RCM Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RCM Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of RCM Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RCM Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RCM Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RCM Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.