Real Matters Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| REAL Stock | CAD 6.74 0.22 3.16% |
Real Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Real Matters' share price is at 51 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Real Matters, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Real Matters hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Real Matters from the perspective of Real Matters response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Real Matters on the next trading day is expected to be 7.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.87. Real Matters after-hype prediction price | CAD 6.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Real |
Real Matters Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Real price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Real using various technical indicators. When you analyze Real charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Real Matters Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Real Matters on the next trading day is expected to be 7.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.87.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Real Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Real Matters' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Real Matters Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Real Matters | Real Matters Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Real Matters Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Real Matters' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Real Matters' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.64 and 9.98, respectively. We have considered Real Matters' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Real Matters stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Real Matters stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8117 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2766 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0431 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.8748 |
Predictive Modules for Real Matters
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Real Matters. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Real Matters After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Real Matters at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Real Matters or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Real Matters, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Real Matters Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Real Matters' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Real Matters' historical news coverage. Real Matters' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.07 and 9.41, respectively. We have considered Real Matters' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Real Matters is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Real Matters is based on 3 months time horizon.
Real Matters Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Real Matters is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Real Matters backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Real Matters, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.74 | 6.74 | 0.00 |
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Real Matters Hype Timeline
Real Matters is at this time traded for 6.74on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Real is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Real Matters is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.74. About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Real Matters was at this time reported as 1.68. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.57. Real Matters recorded a loss per share of 0.43. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Real Matters to cross-verify your projections.Real Matters Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Real Matters' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Real Matters' future price movements. Getting to know how Real Matters' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Real Matters may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BLN | Blackline Safety Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.16 | (3.09) | 9.38 | |
| TCS | TECSYS Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.14 | (4.19) | 9.69 | |
| CVO | Coveo Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.18 | (3.33) | 25.34 | |
| CMG | Computer Modelling Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.33 | (2.98) | 7.68 | |
| TSAT | Telesat Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.91 | (0) | 7.03 | (7.65) | 32.34 | |
| DND | Dye Durham | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 8.00 | (8.00) | 54.37 | |
| QNC | Quantum eMotion Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.66 | 0.11 | 17.00 | (9.01) | 47.20 | |
| XTRA | Xtract One Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.06 | (5.97) | 26.18 | |
| FLT | Volatus Aerospace | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.14 | (8.06) | 19.97 | |
| ONE | 01 Communique Laboratory | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.76 | (0) | 14.04 | (13.68) | 47.01 |
Other Forecasting Options for Real Matters
For every potential investor in Real, whether a beginner or expert, Real Matters' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Real Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Real. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Real Matters' price trends.Real Matters Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Real Matters stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Real Matters could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Real Matters by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Real Matters Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Real Matters stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Real Matters shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Real Matters stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Real Matters entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Real Matters Risk Indicators
The analysis of Real Matters' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Real Matters' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting real stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Variance | 7.13 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Real Matters
The number of cover stories for Real Matters depends on current market conditions and Real Matters' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Real Matters is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Real Matters' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Real Matters Short Properties
Real Matters' future price predictability will typically decrease when Real Matters' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Real Matters often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Real Matters' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Real Matters' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in Real Stock
Real Matters financial ratios help investors to determine whether Real Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Real with respect to the benefits of owning Real Matters security.