Real Brokerage Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| REAX Stock | USD 3.68 0.02 0.55% |
Real Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Real Brokerage's share price is approaching 46 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Real Brokerage, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.05) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0) | Wall Street Target Price 5.925 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.01) |
Using Real Brokerage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Real Brokerage from the perspective of Real Brokerage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Real Brokerage using Real Brokerage's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Real using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Real Brokerage's stock price.
Real Brokerage Short Interest
An investor who is long Real Brokerage may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Real Brokerage and may potentially protect profits, hedge Real Brokerage with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 4.1975 | Short Percent 0.004 | Short Ratio 2.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.5 M | 50 Day MA 3.849 |
Real Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Real Brokerage on the next trading day is expected to be 3.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.07.Real Brokerage Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Real Brokerage's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Real. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Real can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Real Brokerage. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Real Brokerage's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Real Brokerage.
Real Brokerage Implied Volatility | 1.19 |
Real Brokerage's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Real Brokerage stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Real Brokerage's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Real Brokerage stock will not fluctuate a lot when Real Brokerage's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Real Brokerage on the next trading day is expected to be 3.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.07. Real Brokerage after-hype prediction price | USD 3.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Real Brokerage to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Real Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Real Brokerage's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Real Brokerage's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Real Brokerage stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Real Brokerage's open interest, investors have to compare it to Real Brokerage's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Real Brokerage is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Real. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Real Brokerage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Real price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Real using various technical indicators. When you analyze Real charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Real Brokerage Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Real Brokerage on the next trading day is expected to be 3.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Real Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Real Brokerage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Real Brokerage Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Real Brokerage | Real Brokerage Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Real Brokerage Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Real Brokerage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Real Brokerage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.08 and 7.24, respectively. We have considered Real Brokerage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Real Brokerage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Real Brokerage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0165 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1198 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0313 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.0661 |
Predictive Modules for Real Brokerage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Real Brokerage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Real Brokerage After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Real Brokerage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Real Brokerage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Real Brokerage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Real Brokerage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Real Brokerage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Real Brokerage's historical news coverage. Real Brokerage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 7.23, respectively. We have considered Real Brokerage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Real Brokerage is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Real Brokerage is based on 3 months time horizon.
Real Brokerage Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Real Brokerage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Real Brokerage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Real Brokerage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 3.58 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 33 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 33 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.68 | 3.68 | 0.00 |
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Real Brokerage Hype Timeline
Real Brokerage is at this time traded for 3.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Real is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Real Brokerage is about 1088.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.67. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.05. Real Brokerage had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 4:1 split on the 23rd of July 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 33 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Real Brokerage to cross-verify your projections.Real Brokerage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Real Brokerage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Real Brokerage's future price movements. Getting to know how Real Brokerage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Real Brokerage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HBNB | Hotel101 Global Holdings | (0.80) | 4 per month | 5.51 | 0.20 | 16.97 | (12.27) | 41.07 | |
| SDHC | Smith Douglas Homes | (0.38) | 6 per month | 3.34 | 0.06 | 6.93 | (5.98) | 18.62 | |
| NXRT | Nexpoint Residential Trust | (0.23) | 5 per month | 1.61 | (0.02) | 2.80 | (2.90) | 8.15 | |
| BFS | Saul Centers | (0.28) | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0.02 | 1.71 | (1.72) | 4.95 | |
| HOUS | Anywhere Real Estate | (0.07) | 6 per month | 1.49 | 0.22 | 6.95 | (3.45) | 14.45 | |
| KW | Kennedy Wilson Holdings | (1.37) | 17 per month | 1.07 | 0.09 | 2.46 | (1.93) | 33.54 | |
| MMI | Marcus Millichap | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.06 | (2.89) | 9.79 | |
| SACH | Sachem Capital Corp | (0.06) | 6 per month | 2.04 | (0.02) | 3.00 | (4.67) | 13.97 | |
| FBRT | Franklin BSP Realty | (0.1) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.09 | (1.56) | 5.63 | |
| MITT | AG Mortgage Investment | 0.07 | 10 per month | 0.87 | 0.18 | 2.80 | (1.66) | 10.23 |
Other Forecasting Options for Real Brokerage
For every potential investor in Real, whether a beginner or expert, Real Brokerage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Real Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Real. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Real Brokerage's price trends.Real Brokerage Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Real Brokerage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Real Brokerage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Real Brokerage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Real Brokerage Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Real Brokerage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Real Brokerage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Real Brokerage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Real Brokerage entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Real Brokerage Risk Indicators
The analysis of Real Brokerage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Real Brokerage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting real stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.47 | |||
| Variance | 12.06 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Real Brokerage
The number of cover stories for Real Brokerage depends on current market conditions and Real Brokerage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Real Brokerage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Real Brokerage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Real Brokerage Short Properties
Real Brokerage's future price predictability will typically decrease when Real Brokerage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Real Brokerage often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Real Brokerage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Real Brokerage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 191.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.8 M |
Additional Tools for Real Stock Analysis
When running Real Brokerage's price analysis, check to measure Real Brokerage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Real Brokerage is operating at the current time. Most of Real Brokerage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Real Brokerage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Real Brokerage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Real Brokerage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.