Real Brokerage Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

REAX Stock  USD 3.87  0.21  5.15%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Real Brokerage on the next trading day is expected to be 3.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.56. Real Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Real Brokerage's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Real Brokerage's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Real Brokerage, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Real Brokerage's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.02)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.04)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.01)
Wall Street Target Price
6.3333
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.526
Using Real Brokerage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Real Brokerage from the perspective of Real Brokerage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Real Brokerage using Real Brokerage's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Real using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Real Brokerage's stock price.

Real Brokerage Short Interest

An investor who is long Real Brokerage may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Real Brokerage and may potentially protect profits, hedge Real Brokerage with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
4.214
Short Percent
0.004
Short Ratio
2.48
Shares Short Prior Month
3.5 M
50 Day MA
3.8342

Real Brokerage Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Real Brokerage's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Real. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Real can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Real Brokerage. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Real Brokerage's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Real Brokerage.

Real Brokerage Implied Volatility

    
  0.79  
Real Brokerage's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Real Brokerage stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Real Brokerage's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Real Brokerage stock will not fluctuate a lot when Real Brokerage's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Real Brokerage on the next trading day is expected to be 3.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.56.

Real Brokerage after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Real Brokerage to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Real Stock please use our How to Invest in Real Brokerage guide.At this time, Real Brokerage's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to rise to 135.67 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 548.41 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 174.2 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to rise to about (17.6 M) in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Real Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Real Brokerage's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Real Brokerage's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Real Brokerage stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Real Brokerage's open interest, investors have to compare it to Real Brokerage's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Real Brokerage is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Real. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Real Brokerage Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Real price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Real using various technical indicators. When you analyze Real charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Real Brokerage simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Real Brokerage are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Real Brokerage prices get older.

Real Brokerage Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Real Brokerage on the next trading day is expected to be 3.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Real Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Real Brokerage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Real Brokerage Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Real BrokerageReal Brokerage Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Real Brokerage Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Real Brokerage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Real Brokerage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.33 and 7.41, respectively. We have considered Real Brokerage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.87
3.87
Expected Value
7.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Real Brokerage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Real Brokerage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.2812
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0027
MADMean absolute deviation0.1093
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0285
SAESum of the absolute errors6.56
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Real Brokerage forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Real Brokerage observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Real Brokerage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Real Brokerage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.574.087.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.324.838.34
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.766.337.03
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.02-0.01-0.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Real Brokerage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Real Brokerage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Real Brokerage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Real Brokerage.

Other Forecasting Options for Real Brokerage

For every potential investor in Real, whether a beginner or expert, Real Brokerage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Real Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Real. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Real Brokerage's price trends.

Real Brokerage Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Real Brokerage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Real Brokerage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Real Brokerage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Real Brokerage Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Real Brokerage's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Real Brokerage's current price.

Real Brokerage Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Real Brokerage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Real Brokerage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Real Brokerage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Real Brokerage entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Real Brokerage Risk Indicators

The analysis of Real Brokerage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Real Brokerage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting real stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Real Stock Analysis

When running Real Brokerage's price analysis, check to measure Real Brokerage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Real Brokerage is operating at the current time. Most of Real Brokerage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Real Brokerage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Real Brokerage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Real Brokerage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.